Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2026 5.00pm
Stadion Rajko Mitić

Serbia vs Netherlands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Serbia 1 - 2 Greece

Netherlands

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Netherlands win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Serbia has a probability of 29.71% and a draw has a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Serbia win is 2-1 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.66%).

Result

Serbia 29.71% ▲ (+0.66)
Draw 23.44% ▼ (-0.13)
Netherlands 46.81% ▼ (-0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.95% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.72% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 22.28% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 2.5 55.72% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 2.5 44.28% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 3.5 33.43% ▲ (+1.09)
Under 3.5 66.57% ▼ (-1.10)
Over 4.5 20.16% ▲ (+0.81)
Under 4.5 79.84% ▼ (-0.82)

First Half Winner

Serbia 24.71% ▲ (+0.79)
Draw 37.79% ▲ (+0.40)
Netherlands 37.5% ▼ (-1.18)

Team To Score First

Serbia 39.94% ▲ (+1.72)
No Goal 6.01% ▼ (-0.30)
Netherlands 54.05% ▼ (-1.42)

Corners

Over 8 39.88% ▼ (-1.45)
Equal 8 11.54% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 8 48.58% ▲ (+1.15)
Over 9 29.68% ▼ (-1.58)
Equal 9 10.2% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 9 60.12% ▲ (+1.45)
Over 10.5 21.34% ▼ (-1.54)
Under 10.5 78.66% ▲ (+1.54)

Serbia Goals

Over 1.5 32.77% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 1.5 67.23% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 2.5 13.32% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 2.5 86.68% ▼ (-0.86)
Over 3.5 4.14% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 3.5 95.86% ▼ (-0.44)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 76.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 23.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 46.85% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 53.15% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 23.17% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 76.83% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 9.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 90.78% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Serbia 29.71%
Draw 23.44%
Netherlands 46.81%
Serbia
2-1 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.17)
1-0 @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.25)
3-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.25)
3-0 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.36)
Total : 29.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.66% ▲ (+0.19)
0-0 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.30)
2-2 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.3% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 23.44%
Netherlands
0-1 @ 9.31%
1-2 @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.42)
0-2 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.19)
2-3 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 46.81%