Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2026 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Rajko Mitić
  • Saša Lukić 12' yellowcard
  • Luka Jović 46' goal
  • goal Mexx Meerdink 30'
  • goal Mexx Meerdink 69'
  • yellowcard Jurriën Timber  85'

Serbia vs Netherlands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Serbia 1 - 2 Greece

Netherlands

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 52.69%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Serbia win was 2-1 (6.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Serbia 24.86% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 22.44% ▼ (-0.09)
Netherlands 52.69% ▲ (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.5% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 57.85% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 42.15% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 35.4% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 64.6% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 4.5 21.43% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 78.57% ▼ (-0.09)

First Half Winner

Serbia 20.58% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 35.51% ▼ (-0.18)
Netherlands 43.91% ▲ (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Serbia 34.84% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 5.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Netherlands 59.77%

Corners

Over 8 44.3% ▲ (+0.22)
Equal 8 11.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 44.09% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 9 33.66% ▲ (+0.18)
Equal 9 10.64% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 9 55.7% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 10.5 24.64% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 10.5 75.36% ▼ (-0.13)

Serbia Goals

Over 1.5 29.74% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 70.26% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 11.27% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 88.73% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 3.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 96.58% ▲ (+0.04)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 80.89% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 19.11% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 52.36% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 47.64% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 27.21% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 72.79% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 11.02% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 88.98% ▼ (-0.09)

Score analysis

Serbia 24.86%
Draw 22.45%
Netherlands 52.69%
Serbia
2-1 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21%
3-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 24.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.08% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.45%
Netherlands
0-1 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.47% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 10.72% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 52.69%