World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 10, 2024 at 2am UK

Estadio Nacional de Futbol

Montserrat
1 - 3
Panama

Simon (48', 48')
Comley (51'), Comley (51')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Welch (40', 40'), Fajardo (61', 61'), Luis Rodriguez (70', 70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Montserrat and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montserrat

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Nicaragua 4-1 Montserrat
Thursday, June 6 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Panama

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Panama 2-0 Guyana
Friday, June 7 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bolivia	0	0	0
2	Uruguay	0	0	0
3	Panama	0	0	0
4	USA	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 68.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 12.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Montserrat win it was 1-0 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
Montserrat	Draw	Panama
12.52% ( -0.35)	18.63% ( -0.59)	68.85% ( 0.94)

Both teams to score 49.23% (

0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.56% (

1.83)

42.44% (

-1.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.15% (

1.8)

64.85% (

-1.8)

Montserrat Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.46% (

0.61)

44.53% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.44% (

0.48)

80.56% (

-0.48)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.76% (

0.78)

11.24% (

-0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.19% (

1.68)

35.81% (

-1.67)

Score Analysis

Montserrat 12.52%

Panama 68.84%

Draw 18.63%

Montserrat	Draw	Panama
1-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.23% Total : 12.52%	1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.86% Total : 18.63%	0-2 @ 11.95% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.71% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 7.05% ( 0.21) 0-4 @ 4.76% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 3.85% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.13) 0-5 @ 2.08% ( 0.15) 1-5 @ 1.68% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.74% Total : 68.84%