Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a win it was 1-2 (5.33%).
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
| 59.51% | 20.57% | 19.92% |
| Both teams to score 59.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.1% | 36.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.92% | 59.08% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.87% | 12.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.28% | 37.72% |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.13% | 31.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.68% | 68.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 8.6% 1-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 6.92% 3-0 @ 6.05% 3-2 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 3.65% 4-0 @ 3.19% 4-2 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 1.54% 5-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 4.18% Total : 59.51% | 1-1 @ 9.33% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 3.87% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.57% | 1-2 @ 5.33% 0-1 @ 4.42% 0-2 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.5% Total : 19.92% |