Major League Soccer
DC United
Jul 26, 2026 12.30am
Audi Field
Toronto

DC United vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 1.30am
Houston 1 - 1 DC United
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Tai Baribo

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 12.30am
New England 0 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a DC United win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Toronto has a probability of 29.37% and a draw has a probability of 28.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Toronto win is 0-1 (9.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.09%).

Result

DC United 42.02% ▼ (-0.86)
Draw 28.59% ▲ (+0.33)
Toronto 29.37% ▲ (+0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.05% ▼ (-0.28)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.19% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 1.5 31.81% ▲ (+0.60)
Over 2.5 43.95% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 2.5 56.05% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 3.5 25.35% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 3.5 74.66% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 4.5 13.8% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 4.5 86.2% ▲ (+0.22)

First Half Winner

DC United 33.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 42.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Toronto 24.52% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

DC United 50.57% ▼ (-0.19)
No Goal 10.31% ▲ (+0.34)
Toronto 39.12% ▼ (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 63.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 10.75%
Under 8 26.13%
Over 9 51.69%
Equal 9 11.42%
Under 9 36.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 40.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 59.45% ▲ (+0.02)

DC United Goals

Over 1.5 37.9% ▼ (-0.85)
Under 1.5 62.1% ▲ (+0.85)
Over 2.5 15.64% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 2.5 84.36% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 3.5 5.51% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 94.49% ▲ (+0.18)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 61.46% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 0.5 38.54% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 1.5 28.57% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 71.43% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 10.45% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 89.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.77% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

DC United 42.02%
Draw 28.58%
Toronto 29.36%
DC United
1-0 @ 12.28% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.24)
3-1 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 42.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 10.31% ▲ (+0.34)
2-2 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 28.58%
Toronto
0-1 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.28)
1-2 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 29.36%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Toronto
May 10, 2025 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
DC United
  • Lorenzo Insigne 48' goal
  • Lucas Bartlett 66' goal
  • Maxime Dominguez 90'+1' yellowcard
Major League Soccer
DC United
Feb 23, 2025 12.30am
2
2
HT : 4 2
FT Audi Field
Toronto
  • Boris Enow 8' goal
  • Boris Enow 8' goal
  • Christian Benteke 35' goal
  • Christian Benteke 35' goal
  • Kye Rowles 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Kye Rowles 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Christian Benteke 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Christian Benteke 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 17'
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 17'
  • goal Jonathan Osorio 27'
  • goal Jonathan Osorio 27'
  • yellowcard Sigurd Rosted 60'
  • yellowcard Sigurd Rosted 60'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 70'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 70'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 78'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 78'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Sep 1, 2024 12.30am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
DC United
  • Deybi Flores 65' yellowcard
  • Deybi Flores 66' yellowcard
  • Deandre Kerr 77' yellowcard
  • Deandre Kerr 77' yellowcard
  • Deandre Kerr 83' goal
  • Deandre Kerr 83' goal
  • Richie Laryea 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Richie Laryea 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Rodriguez 67'
  • goal Martin Rodriguez 67'
  • goal Dominique Badji 88'
  • goal Dominique Badji 88'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Pirani 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Pirani 90'+1'
  • goal Gabriel Pirani 90'+3'
  • goal Gabriel Pirani 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
DC United
Jun 2, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 4
FT Audi Field
Toronto
  • Theodore Ku-Dipietro 79' goal
  • Theodore Ku-Dipietro 79' goal
  • Mateusz Klich 90'+5' goal
  • Mateusz Klich 90'+5' goal
  • goal Derrick Etienne 2'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 2'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 33'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 33'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 52'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 52'
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 80'
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 80'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 82'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 82'
  • redcard Federico Bernardeschi 87'
  • redcard Federico Bernardeschi 87'
  • redcard Nickseon Gomis 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 90'+4'
  • redcard Nickseon Gomis 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 90'+12'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 90'+12'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
May 28, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT BMO Field
DC United
  • Deandre Kerr 14' goal
  • Deandre Kerr 14' goal
  • Kosi Thompson 72' goal
  • Kosi Thompson 72' goal
  • goal Christian Benteke 87'
  • goal Christian Benteke 87'
Major League Soccer
DC United
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Audi Field
Toronto
  • Mateusz Klich 13' goal
  • Christian Benteke 90' goal
  • Theodore Ku-Dipietro 90'+8' goal
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 66'
  • goal Mark-Anthony Kaye 83'

Form Data

Houston 1 - 1 DC United
DC United 4 - 4 Montreal
DC United 1 - 1 St Louis City
DC United 1 - 2 Chicago Fire
Nashville 2 - 2 DC United
NY City 0 - 2 DC United
New England 0 - 0 Toronto
Montreal 0 - 0 Toronto
Chicago Fire 2 - 1 Toronto
Charlotte FC 3 - 1 Toronto
Toronto 2 - 4 Inter Miami
Toronto 1 - 1 Earthquakes