Champions League Gameweek 7
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Vélodrome
  • Bilal Nadir 67' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 67' yellowcard
  • Igor Paixao 68' yellowcard
  • Bilal Nadir 68' yellowcard
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 45'+1'
  • goal Geronimo Rulli 72' (OG)
  • yellowcard Cody Gakpo 79'
  • yellowcard Curtis Jones 79'
  • goal Cody Gakpo 90'+2'

Marseille vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 8.00pm
Union SG 2 - 3 Marseille

Liverpool

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 8.00pm
Inter Milan 0 - 1 Liverpool

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result

Marseille 42.81% (+0.03)
Draw 23.01% (+0.04)
Liverpool 34.18% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.57% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.5%
Under 1.5 20.5%
Over 2.5 57.58% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 42.42% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 34.72% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65.28% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 20.91% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 79.09% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Marseille 35.69% (-0.08)
Draw 37.01% (+0.11)
Liverpool 27.3% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Marseille 53.24% (+0.18)
No Goal 5.53% (+0.03)
Liverpool 41.23% (-0.21)

Corners

Over 8 48.6% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.58% (-0.01)
Under 8 39.82% (+0.08)
Over 9 37.61% (-0.05)
Equal 9 10.99% (-0.01)
Under 9 51.4% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 27.98% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 72.02% (+0.04)

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 44.52% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 55.48% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 21.25% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.75% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.45%
Under 3.5 91.55%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 68.43%
Under 0.5 31.57%
Over 1.5 37.38% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 62.62% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 15.82% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.18% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.38%
Under 3.5 94.62%

Score analysis

Marseille 42.81%
Draw 23.02%
Liverpool 34.18%
Marseille
2-1 @ 9.03% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.05% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.11% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.65%
3-0 @ 3.61% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.28% (-0.01)
Total : 42.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.53% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.46% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17% (+0.02)
Total : 23.02%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.93% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.37%
1-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.53%
Other @ 5.21% (-0.01)
Total : 34.18%

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