Champions League Gameweek 8
Jan 28, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Erling Haaland 10' goal
  • Rayan Cherki 29' goal
  • Phil Foden 37' yellowcard
  • Tijjani Reijnders 67' yellowcard
  • Nico Gonzalez 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Torreira 68'
  • yellowcard Yunus Akgun 68'
  • yellowcard Eren Elmali 68'
  • yellowcard Kaan Ayhan 80'
  • yellowcard Mauro Icardi 86'

Manchester City vs Galatasaray - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 5.45pm
Bodo/Glimt 3 - 1 Man City

Galatasaray

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 5.45pm
Galatasaray 1 - 1 Atletico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Manchester City 47.45% (-0.08)
Draw 22.02% (-0.04)
Galatasaray 30.53% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

59% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.19% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 17.81% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 60.93% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 39.07% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 38.81% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 61.19% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 24.07% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 75.93% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Manchester City 40.38% (+0.03)
Draw 30.66% (+0.24)
Galatasaray 28.96% (-0.26)

Team To Score First

Manchester City 56.62% (+0.01)
No Goal 4.13% (-0.03)
Galatasaray 39.25% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.88%
Equal 8 10.26%
Under 8 34.86%
Over 9 44.59%
Equal 9 10.29%
Under 9 45.12%
Over 10.5 35.03%
Under 10.5 64.97%

Manchester City Goals

Over 1.5 50.36% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 49.64% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 25.79% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 74.21% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 10.95% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.05% (-0.02)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5 66.21% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 33.79% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 36.29% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 63.71% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 14.45% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 85.55% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 4.96% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.04% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Manchester City 47.45%
Draw 22.01%
Galatasaray 30.53%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.83% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.81% (+0.03)
Other @ 10.79% (+0.01)
Total : 47.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.09% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.07% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.56% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.01%
Galatasaray
1-2 @ 7.61% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 4.35%
1-3 @ 3.39% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.95% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 4.8% (+0.04)
Total : 30.53%

Build-up

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