EFL Cup
Man City
Oct 28, 2026 7.30pm
2
2
ET Etihad Stadium
Brighton
  • Ayyoub Bouaddi 32' yellowcard
  • Mateo Kovacic 40' goal
  • Vitor Reis 72' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Svoboda 11'
  • goal Malick Yalcouyé 30'
  • goal Georginio Rutter 47'
  • yellowcard Mats Wieffer 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ivaylo Ivanov 90'+2'

Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 64.8%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 18.1% and a draw has a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 1-2 (4.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (6.86%).

Result

Manchester City 64.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 17.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Brighton & Hove Albion 18.1% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.56% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 88.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 11.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 72.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 27.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 52.83% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 47.17% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 4.5 37.78% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 62.22% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Manchester City 47.11% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 33.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion 19.61% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Manchester City 64.5% ▲ (+0.24)
No Goal 2.32%
Brighton & Hove Albion 33.18% ▼ (-0.23)

Corners

Over 8 69.81% ▲ (+0.19)
Equal 8 9.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 20.51% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 9 58.94% ▲ (+0.20)
Equal 9 10.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 30.19% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 10.5 47.74% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 10.5 52.26% ▼ (-0.20)

Manchester City Goals

Over 1.5 69.03%
Under 1.5 30.97%
Over 2.5 45.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 54.41% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 24.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 75.08% ▼ (-0.02)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 53.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 46.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 71.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 89.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.14% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Manchester City 64.8%
Draw 17.1%
Brighton & Hove Albion 18.09%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 6.14%
3-2 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 24.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 64.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 5.68%
0-0 @ 2.32%
3-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 0.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 17.1%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.1%
1-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 18.09%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 21
Man City
Jan 7, 2026 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
Premier League
Brighton
Aug 31, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Man City
Premier League Gameweek 29
Man City
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Etihad Stadium
Brighton
  • Erling Haaland 11' goal
  • Savio 15' yellowcard
  • Omar Marmoush 39' goal
  • Jeremy Doku 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 10'
  • yellowcard Kaoru Mitoma 18'
  • goal Pervis Estupinan 21'
  • yellowcard Carlos Balepa 26'
  • goal Abdukodir Khusanov 48' (OG)
  • yellowcard Mats Wieffer 89'
  • yellowcard Bart Verbruggen 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Brighton
Nov 9, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Broadfield Stadium
Man City
  • Yasin Ayari 19' yellowcard
  • Igor Julio 44' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 78' goal
  • Matt O'Riley 83' goal
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 90'+10' yellowcard
  • goal Erling Haaland 23'
  • yellowcard Rico Lewis 37'
  • yellowcard Jahmal Simpson-Pussey 77'
  • yellowcard Erling Haaland 90'+10'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Brighton
Apr 25, 2024 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Man City
  • Joel Veltman 35' yellowcard
  • Carlos Balepa 76' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 17'
  • goal Phil Foden 26'
  • goal Phil Foden 34'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 62'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Man City
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 4 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Brighton
  • Julian Alvarez 7' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 7' goal
  • Erling Haaland 19' goal
  • Erling Haaland 19' goal
  • Rodri 38' yellowcard
  • Manuel Akanji 63' yellowcard
  • Jack Grealish 84' yellowcard
  • Manuel Akanji 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Solly March 36'
  • yellowcard Igor Julio 64'
  • goal Ansu Fati 73'

Form Data

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Man City
Man City 5 - 1 AEK Athens
Man City 3 - 2 Ipswich
Man City 2 - 4 PSG
Liverpool 0 - 3 Man City
Man City 5 - 3 Sunderland
Liverpool 2 - 0 Brighton
Jablonec 0 - 0 Brighton
Brighton 5 - 0 Crystal Palace
Brighton 4 - 0 Kauno Zalgiris
Sunderland 0 - 2 Brighton
Brighton 3 - 0 Arsenal

Build-up

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