/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmcilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog.png)
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Omar Marmoush
57'
-
Omar Marmoush
59'
-
Josko Gvardiol
89'
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Rayan Aït-Nouri
90'
-
Jorge Domínguez
43'
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Morten Hjulmand
55'
Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F07%2Ficonsport-367069-0070-1-6a58671315e56015714971.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F08%2Fmaresca-14-6a752808bcc01442698095.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 59.14%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 20.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (5.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result
Manchester City
59.14%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
20.17%
Atletico Madrid
20.69%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
58.01%
▼
(-0.15)
Goals
Over 1.5
84.84%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
15.16%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 2.5
65.49%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 2.5
34.51%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
43.45%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
56.55%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
28.63%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
71.37%
▲
(+0.02)
First Half Winner
Manchester City
47.75%
▲
(+0.46)
Draw
34.76%
▼
(-0.27)
Atletico Madrid
17.49%
▼
(-0.20)
Team To Score First
Manchester City
64.21%
▼
(-0.03)
No Goal
3.65%
▲
(+0.03)
Atletico Madrid
32.14%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
65.68%
▲
(+0.08)
Equal 8
9.58%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
24.74%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 9
55.32%
▲
(+0.08)
Equal 9
10.36%
Under 9
34.32%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 10.5
44.94%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 10.5
55.06%
▼
(-0.08)
Manchester City Goals
Over 1.5
61.58%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
38.42%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 2.5
35.9%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
64.1%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
17.01%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
82.99%
▲
(+0.01)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
58.34%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
41.66%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
28.96%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
71.04%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
10.74%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
89.26%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
3.43%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
96.57%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Manchester City
59.14%
Draw
20.18%
Atletico Madrid
20.69%
Manchester City
2-1
@
9.64%
▼
(-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 16.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 59.14%
2-0 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 16.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 59.14%
Draw
1-1
@
8.85%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.18%
2-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.18%
Atletico Madrid
1-2
@
5.46%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 20.69%
0-1 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 20.69%
Head to Head
Form Data
Build-up
How to watch
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