Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 25, 2026 2.00pm
Stade Louis II.

Monaco vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 4.15pm
Lorient 1 - 0 Monaco
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Paris Brunner

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 7.45pm
Lille 1 - 1 Brest
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Tiago Santos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Monaco win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Lille has a probability of 30.48% and a draw has a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Lille win is 1-2 (7.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.46%).

Result

Monaco 46.17% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 23.38% ▲ (+0.08)
Lille 30.48% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.33%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.69%
Under 1.5 18.31%
Over 2.5 60.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 39.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 39.08% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 60.92% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 24.06% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 4.5 75.94% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Monaco 33.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 41.27% ▼ (-0.11)
Lille 25.24% ▲ (+0.07)

Team To Score First

Monaco 53.04% ▼ (-0.12)
No Goal 4.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Lille 42.36% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 53% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 35.35% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 41.56% ▼ (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 47% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 10.5 31.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 68.77% ▲ (+0.04)

Monaco Goals

Over 1.5 49.72% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 50.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 24.88% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 75.12% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 10.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 89.84% ▲ (+0.05)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 67.85% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 0.5 32.15% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 37.03% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 62.97% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 15.07% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 84.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.66% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Monaco 46.17%
Draw 23.39%
Lille 30.47%
Monaco
2-1 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.74%
2-0 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 46.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.46%
2-2 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.39%
Lille
1-2 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 30.47%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Wout Faes 58' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Coulibaly 58' yellowcard
  • Ansu Fati 59' yellowcard
  • Ilane Touré 80' yellowcard
  • Mika Biereth 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nabil Bentaleb 46'
  • yellowcard Ethan Mbappé 62'
  • yellowcard Gaëtan Perrin 71'
  • goal Denis Zakaria 72' (OG)
  • yellowcard Alexsandro 89'
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 89'
  • yellowcard Alexsandro 90'
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 90'
Ligue 1
Aug 24, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 22, 2025 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 22' goal
  • Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 42' goal
  • Benjamin Andre 73' yellowcard
  • Jonathan David 73' yellowcard
  • Matias Fernandez Pardo 89' yellowcard
  • Alexsandro 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denis Zakaria 19'
  • goal Takumi Minamino 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Krepin Diatta 58'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 18, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Jordan Teze 41' yellowcard
  • Jordan Teze 61' redcard
  • yellowcard Ayyoub Bouaddi 11'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 34'
  • yellowcard Alexsandro 44'
  • yellowcard Osame Sahraoui 70'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Bayo 90'+4'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 24, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Maghnes Akliouche 38' yellowcard
  • Youssouf Fofana 61' goal
  • yellowcard Jonathan David 54'
  • yellowcard Ayyoub Bouaddi 66'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Ivan Cavaleiro 32' goal
  • Bafode Diakite 42' goal
  • Yusuf Yazici 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wilfried Singo 48'
  • yellowcard Denis Zakaria 50'