Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 21, 2026 5.45pm
Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille vs Galatasaray - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Lille 2 - 3 Betis

Galatasaray

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Galatasaray

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lille win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Galatasaray has a probability of 37.54% and a draw has a probability of 22.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Galatasaray win is 1-2 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.97%).

Result

Lille 39.94% ▲ (+0.62)
Draw 22.51% ▼ (-0.56)
Galatasaray 37.54% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.5% ▲ (+0.78)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.45% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 1.5 18.55% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 2.5 60.94% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 2.5 39.06% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 3.5 37.43% ▲ (+0.84)
Under 3.5 62.57% ▼ (-0.84)
Over 4.5 23.03% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 4.5 76.97% ▼ (-0.83)

First Half Winner

Lille 32.37% ▼ (-0.63)
Draw 41% ▲ (+3.03)
Galatasaray 26.63% ▼ (-2.41)

Team To Score First

Lille 50.8% ▼ (-1.53)
No Goal 4.9% ▼ (-0.20)
Galatasaray 44.3% ▲ (+1.72)

Corners

Over 8 43.06% ▼ (-1.58)
Equal 8 11.46% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 8 45.48% ▲ (+2.26)
Over 9 32.63% ▼ (-0.86)
Equal 9 10.42% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 9 56.94% ▲ (+1.58)
Over 10.5 23.87% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 10.5 76.13% ▲ (+0.19)

Lille Goals

Over 1.5 44.11% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 1.5 55.89% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 2.5 20.34% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 79.66% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 7.78% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 92.22% ▼ (-0.24)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5 71.62% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 28.38% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 41.62% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 1.5 58.38% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 2.5 19.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.26% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 3.5 92.74% ▼ (-0.27)

Score analysis

Lille 39.94%
Draw 22.51%
Galatasaray 37.53%
Lille
2-1 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.27)
Other @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.36)
Total : 39.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.97% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 6% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 22.51%
Galatasaray
1-2 @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.29)
0-2 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.38)
Total : 37.53%