Conference League Gameweek 2
Oct 22, 2026 8.00pm
Stade Louis II.

Monaco vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Freiburg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Monaco win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Freiburg has a probability of 29.75% and a draw has a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Freiburg win is 1-2 (6.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.53%).

Result

Monaco 47.16% ▲ (+1.48)
Draw 23.09% ▼ (-0.34)
Freiburg 29.75% ▼ (-1.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.74% ▲ (+0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.7% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 1.5 19.3% ▼ (-0.60)
Over 2.5 59.01% ▲ (+1.05)
Under 2.5 40.99% ▼ (-1.05)
Over 3.5 36.82% ▲ (+0.92)
Under 3.5 63.18% ▼ (-0.92)
Over 4.5 22.39% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 4.5 77.61% ▼ (-0.77)

First Half Winner

Monaco 37.93% ▲ (+2.22)
Draw 39.04% ▼ (-1.08)
Freiburg 23.02% ▼ (-1.16)

Team To Score First

Monaco 55.01% ▲ (+0.25)
No Goal 4.91% ▼ (-0.17)
Freiburg 40.08% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 50.73% ▲ (+0.44)
Equal 8 11.43% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 8 37.84% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 9 39.71% ▲ (+0.60)
Equal 9 11.02% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 9 49.27% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 10.5 29.89% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 10.5 70.11% ▼ (-0.68)

Monaco Goals

Over 1.5 49.27% ▲ (+1.71)
Under 1.5 50.73% ▼ (-1.71)
Over 2.5 24.3% ▲ (+1.48)
Under 2.5 75.7% ▼ (-1.47)
Over 3.5 9.77% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 3.5 90.23% ▼ (-0.86)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 66.31% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 0.5 33.69% ▲ (+0.79)
Over 1.5 35.01% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 1.5 64.99% ▲ (+0.71)
Over 2.5 13.99% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 2.5 86.01% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 3.5 4.87% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 95.13% ▲ (+0.20)

Score analysis

Monaco 47.15%
Draw 23.1%
Freiburg 29.74%
Monaco
2-1 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.17)
1-0 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.28)
3-0 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.27)
3-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.85)
Total : 47.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53% ▼ (-0.25)
2-2 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.1%
Freiburg
1-2 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.13)
0-1 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.30)
0-2 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.22)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.21)
Total : 29.74%