Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Oct 18, 2026 2.30pm
BayArena

Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 2.30pm
Mainz 3 - 4 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Patrik Schick

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 4.30pm
Freiburg 2 - 1 Schalke
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Yuito Suzuki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw has a probability of 23.86% and a win for Freiburg has a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.48%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.83%) , while for a Freiburg win it is 0-1 (5.67%).

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 55.3% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 23.86% ▼ (-0.54)
Freiburg 20.81% ▲ (+0.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.26% ▲ (+0.45)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.61% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 1.5 22.39% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 2.5 54.66% ▲ (+0.85)
Under 2.5 45.34% ▼ (-0.82)
Over 3.5 32.47% ▲ (+0.70)
Under 3.5 67.53% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 4.5 19.74% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 4.5 80.26% ▼ (-0.59)

First Half Winner

Bayer Leverkusen 41.05% ▲ (+1.12)
Draw 38.12% ▼ (-1.54)
Freiburg 20.83% ▲ (+0.40)

Team To Score First

Bayer Leverkusen 59.76% ▼ (-1.54)
No Goal 6.11% ▼ (-0.34)
Freiburg 34.13% ▲ (+1.86)

Corners

Over 8 60.51% ▲ (+4.11)
Equal 8 11.61% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 8 27.88% ▼ (-4.02)
Over 9 48.4% ▲ (+3.77)
Equal 9 12.12% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 9 39.49% ▼ (-4.11)
Over 10.5 36.87% ▲ (+3.11)
Under 10.5 63.13% ▼ (-3.11)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 1.5 53.3% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 46.7% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 26.61% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 73.39% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 11.32% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 88.68% ▼ (-0.08)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 57.79% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 0.5 42.21% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 1.5 25.42% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 1.5 74.58% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 2.5 8.25% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 2.5 91.75% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 3.5 2.34% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 97.66% ▼ (-0.21)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 55.32%
Draw 23.86%
Freiburg 20.81%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 10.6% ▼ (-0.10)
2-1 @ 10.48% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.19)
3-1 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 11.12% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 55.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.83% ▼ (-0.21)
0-0 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.34)
2-2 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 23.86%
Freiburg
0-1 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.26)
Total : 20.81%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Mar 7, 2026 2.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT Europa-Park Stadion
  • Vincenzo Grifo 34' goal
  • Yuito Suzuki 43' goal
  • Jordy Makengo 62' yellowcard
  • Derry Scherhant 63' yellowcard
  • Lucas Höler 75' yellowcard
  • Cyriaque Irié 75' yellowcard
  • Matthias Ginter 86' goal
  • goal Christian Kofane 37'
  • goal Alejandro Grimaldo 45'+3'
  • goal Martin Terrier 52'
  • yellowcard Malik Tillman 66'
  • yellowcard Montrell Culbreath 75'
  • yellowcard Tim Oermann 82'
  • yellowcard Exequiel Palacios 82'
  • yellowcard Tim Oermann 83'
  • yellowcard Exequiel Palacios 83'
Bundesliga
Oct 26, 2025 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
May 4, 2025 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Johan Manzambi 27' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Eggestein 44' goal
  • Piero Hincapie 48' goal
  • yellowcard Amine Adli 66'
  • goal Florian Wirtz 82'
  • yellowcard Alex Grimaldo 88'
  • goal Jonathan Tah 90'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Dec 21, 2024 5.30pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
  • Patrik Schick 45'+1' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 51' goal
  • Patrik Schick 67' goal
  • Patrik Schick 74' goal
  • Patrik Schick 77' goal
  • Patrik Schick 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lukas Kubler 24'
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 55'
  • yellowcard Merlin Rohl 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Ritsu Doan 10' goal
  • Nicolas Hofler 72' yellowcard
  • Yannik Keitel 79' goal
  • goal Florian Wirtz 2'
  • goal Adam Hlozek 40'
  • goal Patrik Schick 53'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 29, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
  • Florian Wirtz 36' goal
  • Jonas Hofmann 60' goal
  • yellowcard Lukas Kubler 14'
  • goal Manuel Gulde 70'
  • yellowcard Christian Streich 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Lucas Holer 90'+4'