Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Oct 10, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Louis II.

Monaco vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Last game
Sep 18, 2026 7.45pm
Monaco 2 - 1 Lens
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Paris Brunner

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 7.45pm
Toulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Casper Tengstedt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Monaco win with a probability of 50.89%. A draw has a probability of 24.99% and a win for Toulouse has a probability of 24.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.24%) , while for a Toulouse win it is 1-2 (6.37%).

Result

Monaco 50.89%
Draw 24.99%
Toulouse 24.13%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.38%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.85%
Under 1.5 21.15%
Over 2.5 56.28%
Under 2.5 43.72%
Over 3.5 33.74%
Under 3.5 66.26%
Over 4.5 19.83%
Under 4.5 80.17%

First Half Winner

Monaco 38.25%
Draw 40.52%
Toulouse 21.23%

Team To Score First

Monaco 59.15%
No Goal 5.97%
Toulouse 34.88%

Corners

Over 8 56.86%
Equal 8 12.08%
Under 8 31.07%
Over 9 44.63%
Equal 9 12.22%
Under 9 43.14%
Over 10.5 33.35%
Under 10.5 66.65%

Monaco Goals

Over 1.5 51.32%
Under 1.5 48.68%
Over 2.5 25.51%
Under 2.5 74.49%
Over 3.5 10.23%
Under 3.5 89.77%

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 61.82%
Under 0.5 38.18%
Over 1.5 29.48%
Under 1.5 70.52%
Over 2.5 10.41%
Under 2.5 89.59%
Over 3.5 3.07%
Under 3.5 96.93%

Score analysis

Monaco 50.89%
Draw 24.99%
Toulouse 24.13%
Monaco
2-1 @ 9.74%
1-0 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 5.59%
3-0 @ 4.91%
3-2 @ 3.34%
Other @ 9.91%
Total : 50.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5.97%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 24.99%
Toulouse
1-2 @ 6.37%
0-1 @ 5.77%
0-2 @ 3.34%
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 24.13%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Apr 25, 2026 8.05pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadium de Toulouse
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 61' goal
  • Emersonn 74' yellowcard
  • Mario Sauer 79' yellowcard
  • Ilyas Azizi 79' yellowcard
  • Emersonn 90' goal
  • Julián Vignolo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Warren Kamanzi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal J. Teze 6'
  • goal Lamine Camara 18'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Golovin 61'
  • yellowcard Eric Dier 75'
  • yellowcard Mika Biereth 84'
  • yellowcard Paul Pogba 84'
Ligue 1
Oct 25, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Charlie Cresswell 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Frank Magri 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Christian Mawissa 1'
  • goal Takumi Minamino 17'
  • yellowcard Breel Embolo 74'
  • yellowcard Maghnes Akliouche 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Dec 7, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Wilfried Singo 50' goal
  • Breel Embolo 69' yellowcard
  • Breel Embolo 82' goal
  • Jordan Teze 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zakaria Aboukhlal 37'
  • yellowcard Cristian Casseres Jr 71'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Denis Zakaria 27' yellowcard
  • Maghnes Akliouche 48' goal
  • goal Vincent Sierro 41'
  • yellowcard Christian Mawissa 65'
  • goal Logan Costa 70'
  • yellowcard Aron Donnum 82'
  • yellowcard Guillaume Restes 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Frank Magri 5' goal
  • Logan Costa 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Aron Donnum 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mohammed Salisu 3'
  • yellowcard Adi Hutter 4'
  • goal Wissam Ben Yedder 26'
  • goal Wissam Ben Yedder 44'
  • redcard Aleksandr Golovin 51'
  • yellowcard Edan Diop 57'
  • yellowcard Soungoutou Magassa 66'