Liga MX Gameweek 2
Toluca
Jul 22, 2026 4.05am
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Pumas

Toluca vs Pumas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Jul 19, 2026 2.07am
Guadalajara 0 - 2 Toluca

Pumas

All competitions
Last game
Jul 19, 2026 12.00am
Pumas 0 - 3 Pachuca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toluca win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw has a probability of 25.35% and a win for Pumas has a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.49%) , while for a Pumas win it is 0-1 (6.5%).

Result

Toluca 52.09% ▲ (+1.09)
Draw 25.35% ▼ (-0.64)
Pumas 22.57% ▼ (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.9% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.11% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 1.5 24.89% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 2.5 52.01% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 2.5 47.99% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 3.5 30.74% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 3.5 69.26% ▼ (-0.59)
Over 4.5 18.68% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 4.5 81.32% ▼ (-0.36)

First Half Winner

Toluca 39.98% ▼ (-0.59)
Draw 39.85% ▲ (+0.82)
Pumas 20.17% ▼ (-0.23)

Team To Score First

Toluca 55.31% ▼ (-0.34)
No Goal 7.47% ▼ (-0.34)
Pumas 37.22% ▲ (+0.68)

Corners

Over 8 56.39% ▼ (-3.04)
Equal 8 11.39% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 8 32.22% ▲ (+3.42)
Over 9 44.91% ▼ (-2.35)
Equal 9 11.48% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 9 43.61% ▲ (+3.04)
Over 10.5 34.28% ▼ (-1.48)
Under 10.5 65.72% ▲ (+1.49)

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 49.4% ▲ (+0.98)
Under 1.5 50.6% ▼ (-0.98)
Over 2.5 24.56% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 2.5 75.44% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 3.5 10.3% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 89.7% ▼ (-0.04)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5 58.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 41.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 25.62% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 74.38% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 8.64% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 91.36% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.6% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Toluca 52.09%
Draw 25.34%
Pumas 22.56%
Toluca
1-0 @ 10.91% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.30)
2-0 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.29)
3-0 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 10.11% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 52.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.34)
2-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.19% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 25.34%
Pumas
0-1 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.22)
1-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 22.56%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 9
Pumas
Mar 4, 2026 3.10am
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Olímpico de Universitario
Toluca
  • Robert Morales 29' yellowcard
  • Uriel Antuna 57' yellowcard
  • Álvaro Angulo 63' goal
  • Guillermo Martínez Ayala 75' yellowcard
  • Rubén Duarte Sánchez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • César Garza 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jesús Angulo 37'
  • yellowcard Helinho 63'
  • yellowcard Helinho 66'
  • goal Diego Barbosa 73'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Castro 77'
  • goal Paulinho 78'
  • yellowcard Antonio Briseño 82'
Liga MX
Toluca
Aug 17, 2025 4.10am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Pumas
Liga MX Gameweek 4
Pumas
Jan 30, 2025 3.05am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olimpico de Universitario
Toluca
  • Pablo Bennevendo 53' yellowcard
  • Pablo Bennevendo 53' yellowcard
  • Pablo Bennevendo 61' goal
  • Pablo Bennevendo 61' goal
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 64' yellowcard
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 64' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Pussetto 74' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Pussetto 74' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 17'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 17'
  • goal Nathan Silva 51' (OG)
  • goal Nathan Silva 51' (OG)
Liga MX Gameweek 11
Toluca
Oct 6, 2024 2.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Pumas
  • Paulinho 24' goal
  • Paulinho 24' goal
  • Alexis Vega 72' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 72' yellowcard
  • Jesus Gallardo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Marcel Ruiz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jesus Gallardo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Cesar Huerta 1'
  • goal Cesar Huerta 1'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Magallan 39'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Magallan 39'
Liga MX Gameweek 12
Toluca
Mar 18, 2024 1.00am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Pumas
  • Alexis Vega 14' goal
  • Alexis Vega 14' goal
  • Tiago Volpi 36' goal
  • Tiago Volpi 36' goal
  • Claudio Baeza 75' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 75' yellowcard
  • Juan Dominguez 77' goal
  • Juan Dominguez 77' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Lopez 39'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Lopez 39'
  • yellowcard Nathan Silva 40'
  • yellowcard Nathan Silva 40'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Suarez 64'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Suarez 64'
Liga MX Gameweek 4
Pumas
Aug 19, 2023 4.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Olimpico de Universitario
Toluca
  • Cesar Huerta 24' goal
  • Cesar Huerta 24' goal
  • Cesar Huerta 81' yellowcard
  • Cesar Huerta 81' yellowcard
  • Santiago Trigos 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Jose Caicedo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Santiago Trigos 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Jose Caicedo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Gil Alcala 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Gil Alcala 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Carlos Gutierrez 90'+14' yellowcard
  • Carlos Gutierrez 90'+14' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Dominguez 15'
  • goal Juan Dominguez 15'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 38'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 38'
  • yellowcard Tomas Belmonte 81'
  • yellowcard Tomas Belmonte 81'
  • yellowcard Jesus Pinuelas 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Jesus Pinuelas 90'+7'
  • redcard Jesus Pinuelas 90'+10'
  • redcard Jesus Pinuelas 90'+10'

Form Data

Guadalajara 0 - 2 Toluca
Toluca 0 - 0 Atlante
Cancún 1 - 0 Toluca
Toluca 1 - 1 Tigres
Pachuca 2 - 0 Toluca
Toluca 4 - 0 Los Angeles
Pumas 0 - 3 Pachuca
Pumas 0 - 1 America
Cancún 0 - 3 Pumas
Pumas 1 - 2 Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul 0 - 0 Pumas
Pumas 1 - 0 Pachuca