Jul 22, 2026 4.05am

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Nemesio Díez

Jorge Díaz 14'
Helinho 17'

Víctor Arteaga 57'
Sebastián Córdova 63'
Rodrigo López Quiñónes 80'

Toluca vs Pumas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Toluca vs Pumas - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Toluca vs Pumas - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 19 Jul 2026 16:07

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions

W
D
L
D
L
W

Liga MX

W
L
L
W
L
L

Last game

Jul 19, 2026 2.07am

Guadalajara 0 - 2 Toluca

Pumas

All competitions

L
L
W
L
D
W

Liga MX

L
L
D
W
L
D

Last game

Jul 19, 2026 12.00am

Pumas 0 - 3 Pachuca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.35% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%) , while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Toluca 52.02% ▼ (-0.08)

Draw 25.35%

Pumas 22.6% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

51.9% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.12%

Under 1.5 24.88%

Over 2.5 52.02%

Under 2.5 47.98%

Over 3.5 30.74%

Under 3.5 69.26%

Over 4.5 18.69%

Under 4.5 81.31%

First Half Winner

Toluca 39.98%

Draw 39.85%

Pumas 20.17%

Team To Score First

Toluca 55.31%

No Goal 7.47%

Pumas 37.22%

Corners

Over 8 56.39%

Equal 8 11.39%

Under 8 32.22%

Over 9 44.91%

Equal 9 11.48%

Under 9 43.61%

Over 10.5 34.28%

Under 10.5 65.72%

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 49.37% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 50.63% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 2.5 24.54% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 75.46% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 3.5 10.29% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 3.5 89.71% ▲ (+0.01)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5 58.23% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 0.5 41.77% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 1.5 25.67% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 1.5 74.33% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 2.5 8.67% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 91.33% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 2.41% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 97.59% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Toluca 52.01%

Draw 25.35%

Pumas 22.6%

Toluca

1-0 @ 10.87% ▼ (-0.05)

2-1 @ 9.47%

2-0 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.02)

3-0 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.02)

3-2 @ 3.18%

Other @ 10.1% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 52.01%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.49%

0-0 @ 7.47%

2-2 @ 5.04%

3-3 @ 1.16%

Other @ 0.19%

Total : 25.35%

Pumas

0-1 @ 6.5%

1-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.02)

0-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 1.91%

2-3 @ 1.84%

0-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 22.6%

Head to Head

Mar 4, 2026 3.10am

2

3

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Olímpico de Universitario

Robert Morales 29'
Uriel Antuna 57'
Álvaro Angulo 63'
Guillermo Martínez Ayala 75'
Rubén Duarte Sánchez 90'+2'
César Garza 90'+2'

Jesús Angulo 37'
Helinho 63'
Helinho 66'
Diego Barbosa 73'
Nicolás Castro 77'
Paulinho 78'
Antonio Briseño 82'

Aug 17, 2025 4.10am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Jan 30, 2025 3.05am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Olimpico de Universitario

Pablo Bennevendo 53'
Pablo Bennevendo 53'
Pablo Bennevendo 61'
Pablo Bennevendo 61'
Adalberto Carrasquilla 64'
Adalberto Carrasquilla 64'
Ignacio Pussetto 74'
Ignacio Pussetto 74'
Guillermo Martinez 86'
Guillermo Martinez 86'

Alexis Vega 17'
Alexis Vega 17'
Nathan Silva 51' (OG)
Nathan Silva 51' (OG)

Oct 6, 2024 2.00am

1

1

HT : 2 2

FT Estadio Nemesio Diez

Paulinho 24'
Paulinho 24'
Alexis Vega 72'
Alexis Vega 72'
Jesus Gallardo 90'+3'
Marcel Ruiz 90'+3'
Jesus Gallardo 90'+3'

Cesar Huerta 1'
Cesar Huerta 1'
Lisandro Magallan 39'
Lisandro Magallan 39'

Mar 18, 2024 1.00am

3

0

HT : 4 0

FT Estadio Nemesio Diez

Alexis Vega 14'
Alexis Vega 14'
Tiago Volpi 36'
Tiago Volpi 36'
Claudio Baeza 75'
Claudio Baeza 75'
Juan Dominguez 77'
Juan Dominguez 77'

Rodrigo Lopez 39'
Rodrigo Lopez 39'
Nathan Silva 40'
Nathan Silva 40'
Leonardo Suarez 64'
Leonardo Suarez 64'

Aug 19, 2023 4.00am

1

1

HT : 2 2

FT Estadio Olimpico de Universitario

Cesar Huerta 24'
Cesar Huerta 24'
Cesar Huerta 81'
Cesar Huerta 81'
Santiago Trigos 90'+5'
Jose Caicedo 90'+5'
Santiago Trigos 90'+5'
Jose Caicedo 90'+5'
Gil Alcala 90'+10'
Gil Alcala 90'+10'
Carlos Gutierrez 90'+14'
Carlos Gutierrez 90'+14'

Juan Dominguez 15'
Juan Dominguez 15'
Claudio Baeza 38'
Claudio Baeza 38'
Tomas Belmonte 81'
Tomas Belmonte 81'
Jesus Pinuelas 90'+7'
Jesus Pinuelas 90'+7'
Jesus Pinuelas 90'+10'
Jesus Pinuelas 90'+10'

Form Data

Guadalajara 0 - 2 Toluca

Toluca 0 - 0 Atlante

Cancún 1 - 0 Toluca

Toluca 1 - 1 Tigres

Pachuca 2 - 0 Toluca

Toluca 4 - 0 Los Angeles

Pumas 0 - 3 Pachuca

Pumas 0 - 1 America

Cancún 0 - 3 Pumas

Pumas 1 - 2 Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul 0 - 0 Pumas

Pumas 1 - 0 Pachuca