Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Wolfsburg
Dec 8, 2024 2.30pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Mainz
  • Mohamed El Amine Amoura 19' goal
  • Bote Baku 21' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Arnold 22' yellowcard
  • Tiago Tomas 57' goal
  • Tiago Tomas 68' yellowcard
  • Jonas Wind 84' goal
  • Jonas Wind 90'+4' goal
  • goal Paul Nebel 11'
  • yellowcard Bo Henriksen 27'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 39'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 43'
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 56'
  • goal Paul Nebel 66'
  • yellowcard Maxim Leitsch 90'+1'

Wolfsburg vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last game
Nov 30, 2024 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 1 - 5 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Mohamed El Amine Amoura

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Dec 1, 2024 2.30pm
Mainz 2 - 0 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Jonathan Burkardt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result

Wolfsburg 41.05% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 25.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Mainz 05 33.85% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.94% ▲ (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.48% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 46.52% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 31.21% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 68.8% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 15.51% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 4.5 84.49% ▼ (-0.10)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5 77.43%
Under 0.5 22.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 43.84%
Under 1.5 56.17% ▲ (+0.01)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 73.53% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 26.47% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 1.5 38.35% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 61.65% ▼ (-0.21)

Score analysis

Wolfsburg 41.05%
Draw 25.1%
Mainz 05 33.85%
Wolfsburg
1-0 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 41.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.1%
Mainz 05
0-1 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 33.85%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
May 18, 2024 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Mainz
  • Kevin Paredes 18' goal
  • Patrick Wimmer 52' yellowcard
  • Lovro Majer 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 12'
  • goal Brajan Gruda 24'
  • yellowcard Andreas Hanche-Olsen 54'
  • goal Sepp van den Berg 72'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 85'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Mainz
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT OPEL ARENA
Wolfsburg
  • Silvan Widmer 3' yellowcard
  • Sepp van den Berg 46' yellowcard
  • Edimilson Fernandes 56' yellowcard
  • Silvan Widmer 61' goal
  • goal Vaclav Cerny 12'
  • yellowcard Aster Vranckx 16'
  • yellowcard Moritz Jenz 27'
  • yellowcard Koen Casteels 54'
  • yellowcard Mattias Svanberg 79'
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Wolfsburg
Apr 30, 2023 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Mainz
  • Jonas Wind 5' goal
  • Sebastiaan Bornauw 13' goal
  • Jonas Wind 28' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Mainz
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Wolfsburg
  • goal Patrick Wimmer 33'
  • goal Maximilian Arnold 70'
  • goal Bote Baku 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Wolfsburg
Apr 22, 2022 7.30pm
5
0
HT : 5 0
FT
Mainz
  • Jonas Wind 8' goal
  • Max Kruse 24' goal
  • Max Kruse 35' goal
  • Jonas Wind 42' goal
  • Max Kruse 45'+2' goal
  • redcard Niklas Tauer 23'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 81'
  • yellowcard Alexander Hack 82'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Mainz
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Wolfsburg
  • Jonathan Burkardt 2' goal
  • Anton Stach 4' goal
  • Leandro Barreiro 78' yellowcard
  • Maxence Lacroix 90' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Mbabu 82'

Form Data

Wolfsburg 3 - 0 Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig 1 - 5 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 1 - 0 Union Berlin
Heidenheim 1 - 3 Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg 1 - 1 Augsburg
Wolfsburg 1 - 0 Dortmund
Mainz 2 - 0 Hoffenheim
Holstein Kiel 0 - 3 Mainz
Mainz 3 - 1 Dortmund
Freiburg 0 - 0 Mainz
Mainz 0 - 4 Bayern
Mainz 1 - 1 Borussia M'bach