MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 20:24:05| >> :600:25612827:25612827:
European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 21, 2023 at 5pm UK
NSK Olimpiyskiy
Croatia national football team

Ukraine U21s
2 - 0
Croatia U21s

Kashchuk (19'), Sikan (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kacavenda (16'), Stojkovic (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Ukraine Under-21s and Croatia Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine Under-21s

Last Game: Ukraine U21s 3-0 N. Ireland U21s
Tuesday, November 17 at 4.30pm in European Under-21 Championship

Croatia Under-21s

Last Game: Spain U21s 2-1 Croatia U21s
Monday, May 31 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

We said: Ukraine Under-21s 1-1 Croatia Under-21s

 With both teams having been required to come through the playoffs, this should make for a hotly-contested match. With that in mind, we can only back a draw, a result which each side would take ahead of their upcoming fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia Under-21s win with a probability of 56.56%. A win for Ukraine Under-21s had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.01%) and 1-3 (6.85%). The likeliest Ukraine Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Ukraine Under-21sDrawCroatia Under-21s
23.06% (-15.226 -15.23) 20.38% (-0.19 -0.19) 56.56% (15.418 15.42)
Both teams to score 65.57% (-9.686 -9.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.39% (-8.428 -8.43)31.61% (8.428 8.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.89% (-10.604 -10.6)53.1% (10.605 10.61)
Ukraine Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-12.358 -12.36)26.1% (12.36 12.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83% (-20.147 -20.15)61.17% (20.148 20.15)
Croatia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.73% (1.485 1.49)11.27% (-1.484 -1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.12% (3.15 3.15)35.88% (-3.149 -3.15)
Score Analysis
    Ukraine Under-21s 23.06%
    Croatia Under-21s 56.56%
    Draw 20.38%
Ukraine Under-21sDrawCroatia Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.79% (-1.317 -1.32)
1-0 @ 3.95% (0.472 0.47)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-2.012 -2.01)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.799 -0.8)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-2.11 -2.11)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-1.096 -1.1)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-1.453 -1.45)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 23.06%
1-1 @ 8.63% (1.461 1.46)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.997 -1)
0-0 @ 2.94% (1.189 1.19)
3-3 @ 2.06% (-1.264 -1.26)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 9.42% (2.039 2.04)
0-2 @ 7.01% (3.293 3.29)
1-3 @ 6.85% (1.788 1.79)
0-1 @ 6.42% (2.813 2.81)
0-3 @ 5.1% (2.55 2.55)
2-3 @ 4.6% (-0.424 -0.42)
1-4 @ 3.74% (1.133 1.13)
0-4 @ 2.78% (1.471 1.47)
2-4 @ 2.51% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.63% (0.559 0.56)
0-5 @ 1.22% (0.674 0.67)
3-4 @ 1.12% (-0.587 -0.59)
2-5 @ 1.1% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 56.56%

How you voted: Ukraine U21s vs Croatia U21s

Ukraine Under-21s
21.1%
Draw
39.5%
Croatia Under-21s
39.5%
38
rhs 2.0
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