Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 22, 2024 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Philipp Treu 29' yellowcard
  • Elias Saad 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amadou Haidara 24'

St Pauli vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last game
Sep 15, 2024 2.30pm
Augsburg 3 - 1 St Pauli
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Morgan Guilavogui

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2024 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 0 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Benjamin Sesko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

St Pauli 47.22% (+0.27)
Draw 22.69% (-0.01)
RB Leipzig 30.09% (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.88% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.3% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 36.7% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 41.14% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 58.86% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 23.06% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 76.93% (+0.12)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 84.03% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 15.96% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 54.74% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 45.25% (-0.10)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 76.01% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 23.98% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 41.77% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 58.22% (+0.32)

Score analysis

St Pauli 47.22%
Draw 22.69%
RB Leipzig 30.09%
St Pauli
2-1 @ 9.2% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.02% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.45% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.63% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.02% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.58% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.81% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 47.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.03% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.83% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.69%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.41% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 30.09%