Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Brest had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.