/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fromlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbralog.png)
-
Lorenzo Pellegrini
11'
-
Saud Abdul Hamid
47'
-
Mats Hummels
73'
-
Mario Hermoso
90'+1'
-
Roger Fernandes
32'
-
Carlos Carvalhal
48'
-
Ricardo Horta
50'
-
Matheus Magalhaes
68'
Roma vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result
Roma
27.23%
▼
(-0.60)
Draw
24.27%
▼
(-0.41)
Braga
48.5%
▲
(+1.00)
Both Teams to Score:
56.2%
▲
(+0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.1%
▲
(+1.34)
Under 2.5
45.9%
▼
(-1.35)
Over 3.5
31.79%
▲
(+1.26)
Under 3.5
68.21%
▼
(-1.27)
Over 4.5
15.92%
▲
(+0.89)
Under 4.5
84.07%
▼
(-0.89)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5
69.39%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 0.5
30.61%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 1.5
33.15%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 1.5
66.85%
▼
(-0.30)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5
80.99%
▲
(+0.95)
Under 0.5
19.01%
▼
(-0.95)
Over 1.5
49.43%
▲
(+1.55)
Under 1.5
50.57%
▼
(-1.55)
Score analysis
Roma
27.23%
Draw
24.26%
Braga
48.5%
Roma
1-0
@
6.89%
▼
(-0.36)
2-1 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3%
Total : 27.23%
2-1 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3%
Total : 27.23%
Draw
1-1
@
11.43%
▼
(-0.24)
0-0 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.34)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.26%
0-0 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.34)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.26%
Braga
0-1
@
9.66%
▼
(-0.27)
1-2 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.21)
0-3 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.14)
1-4 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.15)
0-4 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.12)
2-4 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 48.5%
1-2 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.21)
0-3 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.14)
1-4 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.15)
0-4 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.12)
2-4 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 48.5%