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Rodrygo
23'
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Rodrygo
34'
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Vinicius Junior
42'
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Kylian Mbappe
48'
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Vinicius Junior
55'
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Vinicius Junior
77'
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Mads Bidstrup
85'
Real Madrid vs Red Bull Salzburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 3-1 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Red Bull Salzburg win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Real Madrid Goals
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.07)
1-0 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.08)
5-0 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.07)
5-2 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.05)
4-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 62.71%
2-2 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 18.83%
0-1 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 18.46%
Head to Head
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Patrick Farkas
72'
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Eden Hazard
19'
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Raphael Varane
54'
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Daniel Carvajal
63'
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Federico Valverde
81'
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Nacho
85'
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