La Liga
Gameweek
11
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Vinicius Junior
80'
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Eder Militao
87'
-
Marc Casado Torras
44'
-
Robert Lewandowski
54'
-
Robert Lewandowski
56'
-
Jules Kounde
69'
-
Inigo Martinez
75'
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Lamine Yamal
77'
-
Inaki Pena
82'
-
Raphinha
84'
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Gavi
90'
Real Madrid vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
Feature
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News
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News
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News
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The match
Result
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.83%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 23.13% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result
Real Madrid
55.83%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
21.03%
▲
(+0.01)
Barcelona
23.13%
▲
(+0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
63.2%
▲
(+0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.28%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 2.5
34.71%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
43.32%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 3.5
56.67%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 4.5
24.87%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 4.5
75.12%
▼
(-0.12)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
87.52%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
12.47%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
61.55%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
38.44%
▼
(-0.01)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5
72.2%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
27.79%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
36.62%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
63.37%
▼
(-0.22)
Score analysis
Real Madrid
55.83%
Draw
21.03%
Barcelona
23.13%
Real Madrid
2-1
@
9.62%
▼
(-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 55.83%
2-0 @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 55.83%
Draw
1-1
@
9.24%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.03%
2-2 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.03%
Barcelona
1-2
@
5.92%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 23.13%
Head to Head
Club Friendlies 1
-
Mario Martin Rielves
76'
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Mario Martin Rielves
76'
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Nico Paz
82'
-
Nico Paz
82'
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Jacobo Ramon Naveros
90'
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Jacobo Ramon Naveros
90'
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Pau Victor Delgado
42'
-
Pau Victor Delgado
42'
-
Pau Victor Delgado
54'
-
Pau Victor Delgado
54'
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Marc Bernal Casas
67'
-
Marc Bernal Casas
67'
-
Hector Fort
90'+2'
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Hector Fort
90'+2'
La Liga
Gameweek
32
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Vinicius Junior
18'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
34'
-
Lucas Vazquez
73'
-
Vinicius Junior
75'
-
Luka Modric
83'
-
Jude Bellingham
90'+1'
-
Andreas Christensen
6'
-
Fermin Lopez
69'
-
Jules Kounde
75'
-
Pau Cubarsi
90'
Supercopa de Espana
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Vinicius Junior
7'
-
Vinicius Junior
10'
-
Vinicius Junior
39'
-
Jude Bellingham
43'
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Antonio Rudiger
62'
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Rodrygo
64'
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Robert Lewandowski
33'
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Ronald Araujo
37'
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Sergi Roberto
39'
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Ronald Araujo
71'
La Liga
Gameweek
11
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Ilkay Gundogan
6'
-
Fermin Lopez
17'
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Ferran Torres
45'+2'
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Dani Carvajal
61'
-
Jude Bellingham
68'
-
Jude Bellingham
90'+2'
Club Friendlies 1
-
Ousmane Dembele
15'
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Frenkie de Jong
41'
-
Jules Kounde
62'
-
Oriol Romeu
71'
-
Fermin Lopez Marin
85'
-
Ferran Torres
90'+1'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
25'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
34'
-
Dani Carvajal
45'+3'
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David Alaba
81'
Copa del Rey
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Vinicius Junior
45'+1'
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Karim Benzema
50'
-
Karim Benzema
58'
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Karim Benzema
80'
Form Data
Build-up
News
News
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News
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News
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News
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