La Liga
Gameweek
32
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-
Raul Asencio del Rosario
75'
-
Vinicius Junior
80'
-
Federico Valverde
90'+3'
-
Unai Nunez
63'
-
Benat Prados
86'
Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
Head to head
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The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.66%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 23.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Real Madrid
54.66%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
22.18%
▼
(-0.02)
Athletic Bilbao
23.16%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
59.05%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.82%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
40.17%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
37.45%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
62.54%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
20.13%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
79.87%
▼
(-0.03)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
85.33%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
14.66%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
57.18%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
42.82%
▼
(-0.05)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5
69.2%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
30.8%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
32.93%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
67.07%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Real Madrid
54.66%
Draw
22.17%
Athletic Bilbao
23.16%
Real Madrid
2-1
@
9.8%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 54.66%
1-0 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 54.66%
Draw
1-1
@
10.21%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.17%
2-2 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.17%
Athletic Bilbao
1-2
@
6.01%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 23.16%
Head to Head
La Liga
Gameweek
19
-
Alex Berenguer
53'
-
Julen Agirrezabala
67'
-
Lucas Vazquez
72'
-
Gorka Guruzeta
80'
-
Jude Bellingham
90'+1'
-
Gorka Guruzeta
90'+3'
-
13'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
70'
-
Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
74'
-
Jude Bellingham
78'
La Liga
Gameweek
30
-
Rodrygo
8'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
57'
-
Nacho
71'
-
Rodrygo
73'
-
Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
87'
La Liga
Gameweek
1
-
Iker Muniain
4'
-
Daniel Vivian
67'
-
Inaki Williams
87'
-
Rodrygo
28'
-
Jude Bellingham
36'
-
David Alaba
76'
La Liga
Gameweek
38
-
Karim Benzema
72'
-
Oihan Sancet
49'
La Liga
Gameweek
18
-
Karim Benzema
24'
-
Toni Kroos
90'
Copa del Rey
-
Dani Garcia
42'
-
Oscar de Marcos
67'
-
Yuri Berchiche
68'
-
Alex Berenguer
89'
-
Toni Kroos
24'
-
Luka Modric
59'