Eredivisie Gameweek 20
PSV
Jan 25, 2025 5.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Philips Stadion
NAC Breda
  • Guus Til 35' goal
  • Guus Til 45'+1' goal
  • Ivan Perisic 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pepi 90'+4' goal
  • goal 6'
  • goal Leo Sauer 26'
  • yellowcard Boy Kemper 89'
  • goal Kacper Kostorz 90'+6'

PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2025 3.30pm
PEC Zwolle 3 - 1 PSV
Goals scored
103
Top scorer
Luuk de Jong

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
Jan 19, 2025 11.15am
NAC Breda 2 - 1 FC Twente
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Elias Mar Omarsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.22%. A draw had a probability of 7.9% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 3.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.55%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (1.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result

PSV Eindhoven 88.22% ▲ (+0.63)
Draw 7.93% ▼ (-0.34)
NAC Breda 3.86% ▼ (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.39% ▼ (-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 79.84% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 20.17% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 61.67% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 3.5 38.33% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 4.5 42.3% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 4.5 57.7% ▼ (-0.24)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 97.15% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 2.86% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 86.99% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 1.5 13.01% ▼ (-0.37)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5 50.84% ▼ (-1.13)
Under 0.5 49.16% ▲ (+1.13)
Over 1.5 15.93% ▼ (-0.82)
Under 1.5 84.07% ▲ (+0.82)

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 88.22%
Draw 7.93%
NAC Breda 3.86%
PSV Eindhoven
3-0 @ 10.52% ▲ (+0.19)
4-0 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.26)
2-0 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.11)
5-0 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.25)
4-1 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.16)
1-0 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.19)
6-1 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.13)
4-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.09)
7-0 @ 2% ▲ (+0.12)
5-2 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.05)
7-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 5.84%
Total : 88.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 7.93%
NAC Breda
1-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 3.86%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 12
NAC Breda
Nov 9, 2024 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
PSV
  • Boyd Lucassen 5' yellowcard
  • Boy Kemper 32' yellowcard
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 21'
  • goal Ismael Saibari 33'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Pepi 34'
  • yellowcard Johan Bakayoko 35'
  • goal Johan Bakayoko 65'
KNVB Beker
PSV
Feb 8, 2022 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Philips Stadion
NAC Breda
  • Noni Madueke 8' goal
  • Mario Gotze 28' goal
  • Phillipp Mwene 31' yellowcard
  • Mario Gotze 40' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 79' goal
  • yellowcard Sabir Agougil 6'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
PSV
Mar 9, 2019 6.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Philips Stadion (Eindhoven)
NAC Breda
  • Luuk de Jong 5' goal
  • Angelino 15' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 71' goal
  • Donyell Malen 85' yellowcard
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
NAC Breda
Sep 29, 2018 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)
PSV
  • Mitchell te Vrede 17' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Nijholt 51' yellowcard
  • Mikhail Rosheuvel 52' yellowcard
  • goal Luuk de Jong 47'
  • yellowcard Luuk de Jong 51'
  • yellowcard Pablo Rosario 58'
  • yellowcard Hirving Lozano 75'
  • yellowcard Jeroen Zoet 91'
  • goal Donyell Malen 92'
Eredivisie
PSV
Mar 31, 2018 6.45pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT Philips Stadion (Eindhoven)
NAC Breda
  • Marco van Ginkel 37' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 41' yellowcard
  • Jorrit Hendrix 57' yellowcard
  • Sadiq Umar 59' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 76' goal
  • Karol Mets 81' goal
  • Gaston Pereiro 84' goal
  • yellowcard Thierry Ambrose 10'
  • yellowcard Rai Vloet 14'
  • yellowcard Sadiq Umar 41'
  • goal Sadiq Umar 65'
  • yellowcard Pablo Mari 68'
Eredivisie
NAC Breda
Aug 20, 2017 3.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
PSV
  • Thierry Ambrose 41' goal
  • James Horsfield 42' yellowcard
  • Mounir El Allouchi 50' yellowcard
  • Pablo Mari 89' yellowcard
  • goal Steven Bergwijn 17'
  • yellowcard Steven Bergwijn 50'
  • goal Marco van Ginkel 60'
  • goal Hirving Lozano 69'
  • goal Jorrit Hendrix 87'

Form Data

Red Star 2 - 3 PSV
PEC Zwolle 3 - 1 PSV
PSV 5 - 4 Excelsior
PSV 2 - 2 AZ
PSV 3 - 0 Feyenoord
PSV 8 - 0 Koninklijke HFC
NAC Breda 2 - 1 FC Twente
NAC Breda 2 - 4 Heerenveen
Go Ahead Eagles 2 - 1 NAC Breda
NAC Breda 1 - 2 AZ
Sparta 0 - 2 NAC Breda
NAC Breda 1 - 0 Almere City