Champions League
Jan 22, 2025 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Nuno Mendes 23' yellowcard
  • Nuno Mendes 23' yellowcard
  • 45' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 56' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 56' goal
  • Bradley Barcola 60' goal
  • Bradley Barcola 60' goal
  • Joao Neves 79' goal
  • Joao Neves 79' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 90'+3' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 10'
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 10'
  • goal Jack Grealish 50'
  • goal Jack Grealish 50'
  • goal Erling Haaland 53'
  • goal Erling Haaland 53'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 10, 2024 8.00pm
Salzburg 0 - 3 PSG

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 11, 2024 8.00pm
Juventus 2 - 0 Man City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 47.83% (-0.16)
Draw 22.61% (+0.06)
Manchester City 29.56% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.84% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.39% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 36.61% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 41.23% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 58.76% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 23.14% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 76.86% (+0.16)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 84.29% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 15.71% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 55.21% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 44.79% (+0.23)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 75.73% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 24.26% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 41.37% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 58.63% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 47.83%
Draw 22.61%
Manchester City 29.56%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.06% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.53% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.04% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.03% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.86%
Total : 47.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.99% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.81% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.61%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 7.08% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.4% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.82% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 29.56%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 24, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rodri 55' yellowcard
  • Raheem Sterling 63' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 76' goal
  • Joao Cancelo 80' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 50'
Champions League
Sep 28, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Idrissa Gueye 8' goal
  • Lionel Messi 74' goal
  • Marco Verratti 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 24'
  • yellowcard Kevin De Bruyne 39'
Champions League
May 4, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Riyad Mahrez 11' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 63' goal
  • Oleksandr Zinchenko 72' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 22'
  • redcard Angel di Maria 69'
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 71'
  • yellowcard Presnel Kimpembe 87'
  • yellowcard Danilo Pereira 89'
Champions League
Apr 28, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Marquinhos 15' goal
  • Leandro Paredes 70' yellowcard
  • Neymar 74' yellowcard
  • Idrissa Gueye 77' redcard
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 31'
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 64'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 71'
  • yellowcard Kevin De Bruyne 86'
Champions League
Apr 12, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fernandinho 72' yellowcard
  • Kevin de Bruyne 76' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Trapp 29'
  • yellowcard Javier Pastore 67'
  • yellowcard Gregory van der Wiel 68'
Champions League
Apr 6, 2016 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • David Luiz 1' yellowcard
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 41' goal
  • Blaise Matuidi 48' yellowcard
  • Adrien Rabiot 59' goal
  • yellowcard Gael Clichy 11'
  • yellowcard Fernando 35'
  • goal Kevin de Bruyne 38'
  • goal Fernandinho 72'
  • yellowcard Eliaquim Mangala 83'
  • yellowcard Jesus Navas 85'

Build-up

News
News
News