Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.