Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.