Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Mar 2, 2025 12.30am
4
2
HT : 4 0
FT Spectrum Stadium
Toronto
  • Cesar Araujo 32' goal
  • Cesar Araujo 32' goal
  • Alexander Freeman 35' goal
  • Alexander Freeman 35' goal
  • Rafael Santos 57' yellowcard
  • Rafael Santos 57' yellowcard
  • Martin Ojeda 63' goal
  • Martin Ojeda 63' goal
  • Eduard Atuesta 73' yellowcard
  • Eduard Atuesta 73' yellowcard
  • Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 81' goal
  • Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 81' goal
  • goal Sigurd Rosted 72'
  • goal Sigurd Rosted 72'
  • goal Deybi Flores 86'
  • goal Deybi Flores 86'

Orlando City vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 23, 2025 12.30am
Orlando City 2 - 4 Philadelphia
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Martin Ojeda

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 23, 2025 12.30am
DC United 2 - 2 Toronto
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Federico Bernardeschi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result

Orlando City 57.45% ▼ (-0.58)
Draw 22.67% ▲ (+0.13)
Toronto 19.88% ▲ (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.58% ▲ (+0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.52% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 46.48% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 31.24% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 68.76% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 15.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 84.46% ▼ (-0.04)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 84.08% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 15.92% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 54.83% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 45.17% ▲ (+0.33)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 62.53% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 0.5 37.47% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 1.5 25.75% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 1.5 74.25% ▼ (-0.50)

Score analysis

Orlando City 57.45%
Draw 22.67%
Toronto 19.88%
Orlando City
1-0 @ 10.96% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 10.07% ▼ (-0.15)
2-1 @ 9.89% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 57.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 22.67%
Toronto
0-1 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 19.88%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Toronto
Jul 4, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 4
FT BMO Field
Orlando City
  • Derrick Etienne 5' goal
  • Derrick Etienne 5' goal
  • Raoul Petretta 63' yellowcard
  • Raoul Petretta 63' yellowcard
  • Deybi Flores 71' yellowcard
  • Deybi Flores 71' yellowcard
  • Shane O'Neill 75' yellowcard
  • Shane O'Neill 75' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Ojeda 27'
  • goal Martin Ojeda 27'
  • goal Nickseon Gomis 45' (OG)
  • goal Nickseon Gomis 45' (OG)
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 75'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 75'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 80'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 80'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Enrique 88'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Enrique 88'
Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Apr 28, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Exploria Stadium
Toronto
  • Duncan McGuire 36' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 37' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 55' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 55' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 67' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 67' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lodeiro 75' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lodeiro 75' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lodeiro 81' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lodeiro 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 11'
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 11'
  • yellowcard Prince Osei Owusu 50'
  • yellowcard Prince Osei Owusu 50'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 57'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 57'
  • goal Tyrese Spicer 87'
  • goal Tyrese Spicer 87'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 90'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 90'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Oct 21, 2023 11.20pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
Orlando City
  • 52' goal
  • goal Duncan McGuire 63'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 74'
Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Jul 5, 2023 12.30am
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Exploria Stadium
Toronto
  • Cesar Araujo 16' goal
  • Cesar Araujo 16' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 22' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 22' goal
  • Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 77' goal
  • Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 77' goal
  • Ercan Kara 84' goal
  • Ercan Kara 84' goal
Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Sep 18, 2022 12.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Toronto
  • Facundo Torres 9' goal
  • Ercan Kara 22' goal
  • Lukas MacNaughton 47' goal
  • Tesho Akindele 84' goal
Major League Soccer
Toronto
May 14, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Orlando City
  • Michael Bradley 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 71'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 72'
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 88'
  • goal Kyle Smith 90'+2'

Form Data

Orlando City 2 - 4 Philadelphia
Orlando City 2 - 2 Inter Miami
Orlando City 0 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Orlando City 1 - 0 Atlanta
Orlando City 1 - 1 Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC 0 - 0 Orlando City
DC United 2 - 2 Toronto
Toronto 0 - 1 Inter Miami
Toronto 1 - 4 NY Red Bulls
Chicago Fire 1 - 1 Toronto
Colorado 2 - 0 Toronto
Toronto 0 - 2 Columbus Crew