/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstolog.png)
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Lewis Dobbin
32'
-
Joshua Sargent
48'
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Joshua Sargent
71'
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Junior Tchamadeu
78'
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Junior Tchamadeu
20'
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Lewis Baker
45'+2'
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Lewis Baker
90'+7'
Norwich City vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F52%2Fjohannes-hoff-thorup.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result
Norwich City
54.17%
▲
(+0.45)
Draw
23.63%
▼
(-0.15)
Stoke City
22.2%
▼
(-0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
52.92%
▲
(+0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.29%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 2.5
47.71%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 3.5
30.1%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 3.5
69.9%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 4.5
14.74%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 4.5
85.26%
▼
(-0.18)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5
82.48%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 0.5
17.51%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 1.5
51.97%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 1.5
48.03%
▼
(-0.48)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
64.15%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
35.84%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
27.38%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
72.62%
▲
(+0.14)
Score analysis
Norwich City
54.16%
Draw
23.63%
Stoke City
22.2%
Norwich City
1-0
@
10.93%
▼
(-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 54.16%
2-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 54.16%
Draw
1-1
@
11.22%
▼
(-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 23.63%
0-0 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 23.63%
Stoke City
0-1
@
6.44%
▼
(-0.10)
1-2 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 22.2%
1-2 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 22.2%