/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnewlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcarlog.png)
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Cameron Evans
33'
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Kyle Hudlin
76'
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Charlie McArthur
36'
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Callum Whelan
47'
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Josh Williams
63'
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Sam Lavelle
90'+1'
Newport County vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
Result
Newport County
33.84%
▲
(+1.34)
Draw
25.64%
▲
(+0.28)
Carlisle United
40.53%
▼
(-1.62)
Both Teams to Score:
55.09%
▼
(-0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.09%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 2.5
48.91%
▲
(+0.87)
Over 3.5
29%
▼
(-0.79)
Under 3.5
71%
▲
(+0.79)
Over 4.5
13.99%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 4.5
86.01%
▲
(+0.55)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
72.37%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 0.5
27.62%
▼
(-0.42)
Over 1.5
36.83%
▲
(+0.54)
Under 1.5
63.16%
▼
(-0.54)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5
76.12%
▼
(-1.18)
Under 0.5
23.88%
▲
(+1.18)
Over 1.5
41.92%
▼
(-1.72)
Under 1.5
58.08%
▲
(+1.72)
Score analysis
Newport County
33.84%
Draw
25.63%
Carlisle United
40.53%
Newport County
1-0
@
8.49%
▲
(+0.40)
2-1 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.19)
2-0 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 33.84%
2-1 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.19)
2-0 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 33.84%
Draw
1-1
@
12.15%
▲
(+0.16)
0-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.63%
0-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.63%
Carlisle United
0-1
@
9.45%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.20)
0-2 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.24)
1-3 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.25)
0-3 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.23)
2-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.15)
0-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 40.53%
1-2 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.20)
0-2 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.24)
1-3 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.25)
0-3 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.23)
2-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.15)
0-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 40.53%
