Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Montpellier
Apr 6, 2025 4.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stade de la Mosson
Le Havre
  • Wahbi Khazri 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Bamo Meite 90'+6' redcard
  • goal Yassine Kechta 3'
  • goal Abdoulaye Toure 33'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Gorgelin 90'+1'

Montpellier HSC vs Le Havre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2025 4.15pm
Auxerre 1 - 0 Montpellier
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Arnaud Nordin

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2025 4.15pm
Le Havre 3 - 2 Nantes
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Abdoulaye Toure

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 37.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.

Result

Montpellier HSC 37.53% ▲ (+0.16)
Draw 23.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Le Havre 38.67% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.25% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.13% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 39.87% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 37.78% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 62.23% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 20.38% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 79.62% ▲ (+0.09)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 78.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 21.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 45.63% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 54.37% ▼ (-0.05)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5 79.18% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 20.83% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 46.5% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 53.5% ▲ (+0.21)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 37.53%
Draw 23.79%
Le Havre 38.67%
Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 37.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.79%
Le Havre
1-2 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 38.67%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Le Havre
Nov 3, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Oceane
Montpellier
  • Gautier Lloris 31' yellowcard
  • Yoann Salmier 46' yellowcard
  • Abdoulaye Toure 73' goal
  • yellowcard Jordan Ferri 35'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Le Havre
Mar 31, 2024 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Oceane
Montpellier
  • Loic Nego 31' yellowcard
  • Josue Casimir 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Becir Omeragic 70'
  • yellowcard Modibo Sagnan 70'
  • goal Jordan Ferri 72'
  • goal Christopher Jullien 80'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Montpellier
Aug 13, 2023 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Mosson
Le Havre
  • Christopher Jullien 48' yellowcard
  • Akor Adams 58' goal
  • Akor Adams 60' goal
  • goal Gautier Lloris 5'
  • yellowcard Arouna Sangante 55'
  • yellowcard Oussama Targhalline 65'
  • goal Samuel Grandsir 90'

Form Data

Auxerre 1 - 0 Montpellier
Montpellier 0 - 0 St Etienne
Lille 1 - 0 Montpellier
Montpellier 0 - 4 Rennes
Nice 2 - 0 Montpellier
Montpellier 1 - 4 Lyon
Le Havre 3 - 2 Nantes
Lyon 4 - 2 Le Havre
Le Havre 1 - 1 St Etienne
Lens 3 - 4 Le Havre
Le Havre 1 - 4 Toulouse
Le Havre 1 - 3 Nice