Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.