Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 25
Mar 16, 2025 7.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Jesus Imaz 31' goal
  • Taras Romanczuk 44' yellowcard
  • Radoslaw Murawski 59' goal
  • Cezary Polak 65' yellowcard
  • Cezary Polak 65' yellowcard
  • Slawomir Abramowicz 89' yellowcard
  • goal Ali Gholizadeh 9'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Salamon 52'
  • yellowcard Radoslaw Murawski 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Alex Douglas 90'+4'

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 4.30pm
Widzew Lodz 0 - 1 Jagiellonia
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Jesus Imaz

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 7.15pm
Lech Poznan 3 - 1 Stal Mielec
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Mikael Ishak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 45.92% (-0.54)
Draw 25.88% (+0.31)
Lech Poznan 28.19% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.72% (-0.80)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.9% (-1.12)
Under 2.5 52.1% (+1.12)
Over 3.5 26.17% (-0.97)
Under 3.5 73.82% (+0.97)
Over 4.5 12.11% (-0.64)
Under 4.5 87.89% (+0.64)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 77.34% (-0.72)
Under 0.5 22.65% (+0.72)
Over 1.5 43.71% (-1.07)
Under 1.5 56.29% (+1.07)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 66.87% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 33.13% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 30.27% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 69.73% (+0.46)

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 45.92%
Draw 25.88%
Lech Poznan 28.19%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 11.14% (+0.26)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.27% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 45.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.31% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 7.5% (+0.33)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.11)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 25.88%
Lech Poznan
0-1 @ 8.29% (+0.27)
1-2 @ 6.8% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.58% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 28.19%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 8
Sep 14, 2024 7.15pm
5
0
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
  • Afonso Sousa 25' goal
  • Antonio Milic 36' yellowcard
  • Dino Hotic 41' goal
  • Filip Szymczak 81' goal
  • Jetmir Haliti 87' goal
  • Filip Jagiello 90'+3' goal
  • goal 15'
  • redcard Adrian Dieguez 38'
  • yellowcard Nene 42'
  • yellowcard Jetmir Haliti 79'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 21
Feb 17, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Adrian Dieguez 67' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Normann Hansen 82' goal
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Velde 14'
  • goal Filip Marchwinski 18'
  • goal Filip Szymczak 30'
  • yellowcard Joel Pereira 90'+7'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 4
Oct 24, 2023 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 0
FT INEA stadion
  • Adriel Ba Loua 2' goal
  • 3' goal
  • Mikael Ishak 43' goal
  • Adriel Ba Loua 48' yellowcard
  • Adriel Ba Loua 51' goal
  • Filip Marchwinski 55' yellowcard
  • Elias Andersson 64' yellowcard
  • Alan Czerwinski 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Velde 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Kristoffer Normann Hansen 54'
  • yellowcard Taras Romanczuk 63'
  • goal Mateusz Skrzypczak 66'
  • goal Bartlomiej Wdowik 90'+6'