Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 0-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.