Nations League
Oct 10, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Europa Park Stadion
  • Tjay De Barr 17' yellowcard
  • Ethan Britto 23' yellowcard
  • Ethan Britto 62' goal
  • Graeme Torilla 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessandro Tosi 10'
  • yellowcard Matteo Valli Casadei 15'
  • yellowcard Samuele Zannoni 60'
  • yellowcard Michael Battistini 63'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Lazzari 76'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Benvenuti 83'
  • yellowcard Nicko Sensoli 87'
  • yellowcard Andrea Contadini 90'+3'

Gibraltar vs San Marino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gibraltar

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 8, 2024 5.00pm
Gibraltar 2 - 2 Liechtenstein

San Marino

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 5, 2024 7.45pm
San Marino 1 - 0 Liechtenstein

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gibraltar win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 19.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gibraltar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gibraltar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gibraltar.

Result

Gibraltar 58.09% (+2.60)
Draw 21.98% (+0.33)
San Marino 19.93% (-2.92)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.93% (-5.55)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.6% (-5.30)
Under 2.5 43.4% (+5.30)
Over 3.5 34.2% (-5.42)
Under 3.5 65.8% (+5.43)
Over 4.5 17.67% (-4.17)
Under 4.5 82.33% (+4.17)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5 85.34% (-0.96)
Under 0.5 14.66% (+0.97)
Over 1.5 57.19% (-1.88)
Under 1.5 42.81% (+1.88)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5 64.37% (-5.72)
Under 0.5 35.63% (+5.72)
Over 1.5 27.6% (-6.38)
Under 1.5 72.4% (+6.38)

Score analysis

Gibraltar 58.09%
Draw 21.98%
San Marino 19.93%
Gibraltar
1-0 @ 10.03% (+1.89)
2-1 @ 9.94% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 9.63% (+1.53)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 6.16% (+0.80)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.63)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.17)
4-0 @ 2.96% (+0.30)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.37)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.11)
5-0 @ 1.14% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 58.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% (+0.52)
0-0 @ 5.22% (+1.13)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.77)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.45)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.98%
San Marino
0-1 @ 5.39% (+0.45)
1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.60)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.21)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.55)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.61)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 19.93%

Head to Head

Nations League
Nov 14, 2020 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
  • Davide Simoncini 49' redcard
  • Cristian Brolli 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roy Chipolina 15'
  • yellowcard Graeme Torilla 73'
  • yellowcard Reece Styche 81'
Nations League
Sep 5, 2020 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Victoria Stadium
  • Graeme Torilla 42' goal
  • Liam Walker 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicola Nanni 12'
  • yellowcard Davide Simoncini 64'