Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.