/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmailog.png)
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Maximilian Beier
39'
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Emre Can
42'
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Yan Couto
45'
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Maximilian Beier
72'
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Nico Schlotterbeck
89'
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Paul Nebel
76'
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result
Borussia Dortmund
59.44%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
21.05%
▲
(+0.20)
Mainz 05
19.5%
▼
(-0.19)
Both Teams to Score:
57.4%
▼
(-1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.2%
▼
(-1.18)
Under 2.5
39.79%
▲
(+1.18)
Over 3.5
37.85%
▼
(-1.23)
Under 3.5
62.15%
▲
(+1.23)
Over 4.5
20.44%
▼
(-0.97)
Under 4.5
79.56%
▲
(+0.97)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
86.93%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 0.5
13.06%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 1.5
60.35%
▼
(-0.77)
Under 1.5
39.65%
▲
(+0.77)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
66.02%
▼
(-0.88)
Under 0.5
33.97%
▲
(+0.88)
Over 1.5
29.34%
▼
(-0.96)
Under 1.5
70.65%
▲
(+0.96)
Score analysis
Borussia Dortmund
59.44%
Draw
21.05%
Mainz 05
19.5%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
@
9.92%
▲
(+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.19% ▲ (+0.25)
1-0 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.10)
5-1 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 59.44%
2-0 @ 9.19% ▲ (+0.25)
1-0 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.10)
5-1 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 59.44%
Draw
1-1
@
9.75%
▲
(+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.05%
2-2 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.05%
Mainz 05
1-2
@
5.26%
▼
(-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 19.5%
0-1 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 19.5%
Emre Can
27'