Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.