Champions League
Dec 10, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
  • Nordi Mukiele 90' goal
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 25'
  • yellowcard Carlos Augusto 28'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Barella 90'+5'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 26, 2024 8.00pm
B. Leverkusen 5 - 0 Salzburg

Inter Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 26, 2024 8.00pm
Inter Milan 1 - 0 RB Leipzig

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 42.6% (-0.10)
Draw 24.82% (-0.05)
Inter Milan 32.58% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.5% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.39% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 45.61% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 32.07% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 67.94% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 16.12% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 83.88% (-0.18)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 78.56% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 21.44% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 45.54% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 54.45% (-0.10)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 73.19% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 26.81% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 37.9% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 62.1% (-0.28)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 42.6%
Draw 24.82%
Inter Milan 32.58%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.61% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.77% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 42.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.91% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.82%
Inter Milan
1-2 @ 7.67% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.57% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.98% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.59% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 32.58%

Head to Head

Europa League
Aug 10, 2020 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Merkur Spiel-Arena
  • Nicolo Barella 15' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 21' goal
  • Danilo D'Ambrosio 32' yellowcard
  • Matias Fonseca 80' yellowcard
  • Christian Eriksen 85' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Barella 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Kai Havertz 24'
  • yellowcard Daley Sinkgraven 43'
  • yellowcard Lars Bender 49'
  • yellowcard Edmond Tapsoba 87'