Bundesliga Gameweek 33
B. Leverkusen
May 11, 2025 2.30pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT BayArena
Dortmund
  • Jeremie Frimpong 30' goal
  • Jonas Hofmann 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Pascal Gross 23'
  • goal Julian Brandt 33'
  • goal Julian Ryerson 43'
  • yellowcard Felix Nmecha 45'+2'
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 73'
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 77'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2025 4.30pm
Freiburg 2 - 2 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Patrik Schick

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2025 5.30pm
Dortmund 4 - 0 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 17.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 3-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-4 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 63.5% ▲ (+0.29)
Draw 18.7% ▼ (-0.12)
Borussia Dortmund 17.8% ▼ (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.87% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.75% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 2.5 31.25% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 47.31% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 3.5 52.69% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 4.5 28.31% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 4.5 71.68% ▼ (-0.32)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 90.56% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 9.44% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 1.5 68.28% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 31.72% ▼ (-0.36)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 69.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.8% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 63.5%
Draw 18.7%
Borussia Dortmund 17.8%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.53% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.04)
5-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)
4-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 63.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.7%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 17.8%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Dortmund
Jan 10, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
B. Leverkusen
  • Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 12' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 79' goal
  • Felix Nmecha 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Nathan Tella 1'
  • goal Patrik Schick 8'
  • goal Patrik Schick 19'
  • yellowcard Patrik Schick 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Edmond Tapsoba 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Dortmund
Apr 21, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
B. Leverkusen
  • Ian Maatsen 37' yellowcard
  • Emre Can 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 81' goal
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Tella 28'
  • yellowcard Jeremie Frimpong 88'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 90'+1'
  • goal Josip Stanisic 90'+7'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
B. Leverkusen
Dec 3, 2023 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT BayArena
Dortmund
  • Jeremie Frimpong 12' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Palacios 74' yellowcard
  • Victor Okoh Boniface 79' goal
  • Kossonou Odilon 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Ryerson 5'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 77'
  • yellowcard Marius Wolf 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
B. Leverkusen
Jan 29, 2023 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Dortmund
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 33'
  • goal Edmond Tapsoba 53' (OG)
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Dortmund
Aug 6, 2022 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Marco Reus 10' goal
  • Thorgan Hazard 43' yellowcard
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 27'
  • yellowcard Exequiel Palacios 37'
  • yellowcard Piero Hincapie 56'
  • redcard Lukas Hradecky 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Mitchel Bakker 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Dortmund
Feb 6, 2022 2.30pm
2
5
HT : 1 3
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Jeremie Frimpong 16' goal
  • Mahmoud Dahoud 26' yellowcard
  • Steffen Tigges 89' goal
  • goal Manuel Akanji 11' (OG)
  • goal Florian Wirtz 20'
  • goal Robert Andrich 28'
  • yellowcard Karim Bellarabi 46'
  • goal Jonathan Tah 53'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 87'

Form Data

Freiburg 2 - 2 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 2 - 0 Augsburg
St Pauli 1 - 1 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 0 - 0 Union Berlin
Heidenheim 0 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Arminia Bielefeld 2 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Dortmund 4 - 0 Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Dortmund
Dortmund 3 - 2 Borussia M'bach
Dortmund 3 - 1 Barcelona
Bayern 2 - 2 Dortmund
Barcelona 4 - 0 Dortmund