Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 32

May 4, 2025 at 4.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
2 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Eggestein (44'), Hincapie (48' og.)
Manzambi (27')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wirtz (82'), Tah (90+3')
Adli (66'), Grimaldo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Augsburg
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
25.64% ( -0.41)	23.6% ( 0.12)	50.76% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 56.96% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.77% (

-0.86)

44.22% (

0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.4% (

-0.85)

66.6% (

0.85)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.03% (

-0.78)

30.96% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.74% (

-0.92)

67.26% (

0.92)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.51% (

-0.21)

17.49% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.02% (

-0.37)

47.98% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 25.64%

Bayer Leverkusen 50.76%

Draw 23.59%

Freiburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.88% Total : 25.64%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.59%	1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 5.61% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.76%