Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.