Bundesliga
Gameweek
30
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-
Carlo Boukhalfa
78'
-
Eric Smith
90'+1'
-
Patrik Schick
32'
-
Piero Hincapie
63'
-
Jeremie Frimpong
64'
-
Lukas Hradecky
64'
-
Nathan Tella
77'
St Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result
St Pauli
25.36%
▲
(+0.33)
Draw
25.26%
▲
(+0.16)
Bayer Leverkusen
49.38%
▼
(-0.48)
Both Teams to Score:
51.4%
▼
(-0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.55%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 2.5
51.45%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 3.5
26.74%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 3.5
73.26%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 4.5
12.48%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 4.5
87.52%
▲
(+0.21)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5
64.93%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
35.07%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
28.19%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
71.81%
▼
(-0.09)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5
79.15%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 0.5
20.85%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 1.5
46.46%
▼
(-0.55)
Under 1.5
53.54%
▲
(+0.56)
Score analysis
St Pauli
25.36%
Draw
25.26%
Bayer Leverkusen
49.38%
St Pauli
1-0
@
7.66%
▲
(+0.13)
2-1 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.72%
3-0 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 25.36%
2-1 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.72%
3-0 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 25.36%
Draw
1-1
@
12.01%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.26%
0-0 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.26%
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1
@
11.46%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 49.38%
1-2 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 49.38%
Head to Head
Bundesliga
Gameweek
13
-
Florian Wirtz
6'
-
Jonathan Tah
21'
-
Piero Hincapie
28'
-
Morgan Guilavogui
37'
-
Manolis Saliakas
75'
-
Morgan Guilavogui
84'
-
Adam Dzwigala
90'+3'