Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 20, 2025 at 6.30pm UK

Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Boukhalfa (78')
Smith (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Schick (32')
Hincapie (63'), Frimpong (64'), Hradecky (64'), Tella (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-2 St Pauli
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
25.36% ( 0.33)	25.26% ( 0.16)	49.38% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 51.4% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.55% (

-0.37)

51.45% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.74% (

-0.32)

73.26% (

0.32)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.93% (

0.08)

35.07% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.19% (

0.09)

71.81% (

-0.08)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.15% (

-0.35)

20.85% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.46% (

-0.55)

53.54% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 25.36%

Bayer Leverkusen 49.38%

Draw 25.26%

St Pauli	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.72% 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 25.36%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 49.38%