/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flillog.png)
-
Julian Alvarez
8'
-
Javi Galan
17'
-
Diego Simeone
73'
-
Jose Gimenez
78'
-
Axel Witsel
88'
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Ousmane Toure
44'
-
Edon Zhegrova
61'
-
Jonathan David
74'
-
Thomas Meunier
78'
-
Jonathan David
89'
Atletico Madrid vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Lille had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result
Atletico Madrid
46.65%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
25.65%
▲
(+0.03)
Lille
27.7%
▼
(-0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
52.12%
▼
(-0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.57%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 2.5
51.43%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
26.76%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
73.24%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
12.49%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
87.51%
▲
(+0.09)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
77.96%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
22.04%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
44.63%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
55.37%
▲
(+0.05)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5
66.85%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
33.15%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
30.25%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 1.5
69.75%
▲
(+0.16)
Score analysis
Atletico Madrid
46.65%
Draw
25.64%
Lille
27.7%
Atletico Madrid
1-0
@
11.05%
▲
(+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 46.65%
2-1 @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 46.65%
Draw
1-1
@
12.19%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 25.64%
0-0 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 25.64%
Lille
0-1
@
8.07%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 27.7%
1-2 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 27.7%