League Two Gameweek 15
Swindon
Nov 14, 2026 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
LIVE The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
Grimsby Town
  • Mitch Clark 26' yellowcard
  • Dan Butler 41' yellowcard
  • Dan Butler 66' redcard
  • goal Andy Cook 21'
  • goal Iwan Morgan 43'
  • goal Iwan Morgan 58'
  • goal Josh Andrews 82'

Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
Swindon 2 - 1 Rotherham
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 12.30pm
Grimsby Town 5 - 2 York City
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Iwan Morgan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Swindon Town has a probability of 31.58% and a draw has a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Swindon Town win is 1-0 (9.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.23%).

Result

Swindon Town 31.58% ▼ (-0.34)
Draw 26.6% ▲ (+0.38)
Grimsby Town 41.82% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.43% ▼ (-1.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.77% ▼ (-1.16)
Under 1.5 27.23% ▲ (+1.16)
Over 2.5 48.5% ▼ (-1.30)
Under 2.5 51.5% ▲ (+1.30)
Over 3.5 26.74% ▼ (-0.98)
Under 3.5 73.26% ▲ (+0.97)
Over 4.5 14.49% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 4.5 85.51% ▲ (+0.61)

First Half Winner

Swindon Town 26.24%
Draw 42.16%
Grimsby Town 31.6%

Team To Score First

Swindon Town 41.63% ▼ (-0.23)
No Goal 7.88% ▲ (+0.51)
Grimsby Town 50.49% ▼ (-0.29)

Corners

Over 8 66.99%
Equal 8 10.68%
Under 8 22.34%
Over 9 55.23%
Equal 9 11.76%
Under 9 33.01%
Over 10.5 43.45%
Under 10.5 56.55%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 1.5 31.6% ▼ (-0.97)
Under 1.5 68.4% ▲ (+0.97)
Over 2.5 11.11% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 2.5 88.89% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 3.5 3.18% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 3.5 96.82% ▲ (+0.23)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.79% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 0.5 27.21% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 1.5 39.97% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 1.5 60.03% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 2.5 17.05% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 2.5 82.95% ▲ (+0.39)
Over 3.5 5.86% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 94.14% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 31.58%
Draw 26.6%
Grimsby Town 41.83%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.06% ▲ (+0.33)
2-1 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.16)
2-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.22)
Total : 31.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.51)
2-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 26.6%
Grimsby Town
0-1 @ 10.3% ▲ (+0.33)
1-2 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 41.83%

Head to Head

League Two
Grimsby Town
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Blundell Park
Swindon
  • Jaze Kabia 8' goal
  • Jaze Kabia 8' yellowcard
  • Maldini Kacurri 22' goal
  • Jaze Kabia 43' goal
  • Jaze Kabia 58' goal
  • Jamie Walker 61' yellowcard
  • Tyrell Warren 61' yellowcard
  • Charles Vernam 62' yellowcard
  • Jude Soonsup-Bell 78' yellowcard
  • Darragh Burns 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel McGregor 45'
  • yellowcard Fletcher Holman 45'
  • yellowcard Filozofe Mabete 45'
  • yellowcard Michael Olakigbe 45'
  • yellowcard Joel McGregor 46'
  • yellowcard Fletcher Holman 46'
  • yellowcard Filozofe Mabete 46'
  • yellowcard Michael Olakigbe 46'
  • yellowcard Ben Middlemas 71'
  • yellowcard Filozofe Mabete 88'
  • yellowcard 88'
  • yellowcard Joel McGregor 90'+6'
League Two
Swindon
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
Grimsby Town
  • Ollie Palmer 7' goal
  • Billy Bodin 13' goal
  • Gavin Kilkenny 40' yellowcard
  • J. Tabor 79' yellowcard
  • goal Kieran Green 22'
  • goal Danny Rose 41'
  • yellowcard Géza Dávid Turi 67'
  • yellowcard George McEachran 86'
League Two Gameweek 43
Grimsby Town
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Blundell Park
Swindon
  • Geza David Turi 59' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Nichols 8'
  • goal Ollie Clarke 32'
  • goal Kabongo Tshimanga 65'
  • yellowcard Ollie Clarke 76'
  • yellowcard Miguel Freckleton 81'
  • goal Botan Ameen 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 21
Swindon
Dec 21, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT County Ground
Grimsby Town
  • Ollie Clarke 3' goal
  • George Cox 39' yellowcard
  • Kabongo Tshimanga 41' goal
  • Kabongo Tshimanga 60' goal
  • Ollie Clarke 66' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Rose 71'
  • yellowcard Denver Hume 88'
League Two Gameweek 45
Grimsby Town
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Blundell Park
Swindon
  • Gavan Holohan 69' yellowcard
  • Liam Smith 75' goal
  • Donovan Wilson 85' goal
League Two Gameweek 10
Swindon
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT County Ground
Grimsby Town
  • Dan Kemp 26' goal
  • Frazer Blake-Tracy 60' yellowcard
  • Jake Cain 64' goal
  • Remeao Hutton 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Clifton 62'
  • goal Donovan Wilson 69'
  • yellowcard Harvey Rodgers 90'+2'

Form Data

Plymouth 2 - 1 Swindon
MK Dons 2 - 1 Swindon
Swindon 2 - 1 Rotherham
Bristol Rovers 0 - 0 Swindon
Barnet 1 - 3 Swindon
Swindon 1 - 1 Walsall
Grimsby Town 0 - 3 Forest U21s
Stafford Rangers 3 - 3 Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town 5 - 2 York City
Gillingham 1 - 4 Grimsby Town
Rochdale 2 - 2 Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town 0 - 2 Northampton