League Two Gameweek 9
Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm
Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 3.00pm
Fleetwood 1 - 2 Rochdale
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Dajaune Brown

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 3.00pm
Swindon 1 - 1 Accrington
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rochdale win with a probability of 57.35%. A win for Swindon Town has a probability of 22.15% and a draw has a probability of 20.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.65%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Swindon Town win is 1-2 (5.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.34%).

Result

Rochdale 57.35%
Draw 20.46%
Swindon Town 22.15%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.28%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.02%
Under 1.5 15.98%
Over 2.5 64.4%
Under 2.5 35.6%
Over 3.5 41.52%
Under 3.5 58.48%
Over 4.5 27.37%
Under 4.5 72.63%

First Half Winner

Rochdale 40.08%
Draw 39.02%
Swindon Town 20.89%

Team To Score First

Rochdale 59.74%
No Goal 4.01%
Swindon Town 36.25%

Corners

Over 8 66.22%
Equal 8 11.32%
Under 8 22.46%
Over 9 53.71%
Equal 9 12.51%
Under 9 33.78%
Over 10.5 41.25%
Under 10.5 58.75%

Rochdale Goals

Over 1.5 59.38%
Under 1.5 40.62%
Over 2.5 34.23%
Under 2.5 65.77%
Over 3.5 16.82%
Under 3.5 83.18%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 58.46%
Under 0.5 41.54%
Over 1.5 28.53%
Under 1.5 71.47%
Over 2.5 10.91%
Under 2.5 89.09%
Over 3.5 3.16%
Under 3.5 96.84%

Score analysis

Rochdale 57.35%
Draw 20.46%
Swindon Town 22.15%
Rochdale
2-1 @ 9.72%
2-0 @ 7.65%
1-0 @ 7.52%
3-1 @ 6.46%
3-0 @ 5.75%
3-2 @ 3.68%
Other @ 16.57%
Total : 57.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.34%
2-2 @ 5.34%
0-0 @ 4.01%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.46%
Swindon Town
1-2 @ 5.96%
0-1 @ 4.41%
0-2 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 22.15%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
4
4
HT : 2 2
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Devante Rodney 22' goal
  • Danny Lloyd 25' goal
  • Abraham Odoh 71' goal
  • Ian Henderson 90'+4' goal
  • goal Charlie Austin 2'
  • goal Charlie Austin 14'
  • goal Charlie Austin 74'
  • goal Charlie Austin 79'
League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jacob Wakeling 1' goal
  • Saido Khan 41' yellowcard
  • Jonny Williams 50' goal
  • Ben Gladwin 76' yellowcard
  • Harry McKirdy 81' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Nelson 66'
  • yellowcard Ethan Brierley 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 40
Apr 2, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jeriel Dorsett 12' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ellis Iandolo 55'
League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ben Gladwin 37' goal
  • Jayden Mitchell-Lawson 82' yellowcard
  • Jonny Williams 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Corey O'Keeffe 13'
  • yellowcard Eoghan O'Connell 45'+1'
  • goal George Broadbent 57'
  • goal Liam Kelly 79'
League One Gameweek 38
Apr 13, 2021 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Jimmy Keohane 12' goal
  • Conor Grant 64' goal
  • Gabriel Osho 74' yellowcard
  • goal Jordon Garrick 88'
League One Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT The Energy Check County Ground
  • Tyler Smith 4' goal
  • Anthony Grant 33' goal
  • Matt Smith 41' goal
  • Diallang Jaiyesimi 46' yellowcard
  • Brett Pitman 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matthew Lund 89'
  • goal Jimmy Keohane 90'+3'