League Two Gameweek 5
Swindon
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
Colchester

Swindon Town vs Colchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Swindon 3 - 1 Port Vale
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Colchester United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers 2 - 0 Colchester
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Ellis Iandolo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Colchester United has a probability of 33.28% and a draw has a probability of 26.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Colchester United win is 0-1 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.67%).

Result

Swindon Town 40.24% ▲ (+0.38)
Draw 26.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Colchester United 33.28% ▼ (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.73% ▲ (+0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.85% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 1.5 25.15% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 2.5 50.39% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 2.5 49.61% ▼ (-0.67)
Over 3.5 28.02% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 3.5 71.98% ▼ (-0.51)
Over 4.5 15.43% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 4.5 84.57% ▼ (-0.33)

First Half Winner

Swindon Town 30.27% ▲ (+0.34)
Draw 43.51% ▼ (-0.93)
Colchester United 26.22% ▲ (+0.59)

Team To Score First

Swindon Town 47.29% ▼ (-1.18)
No Goal 7.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Colchester United 45.61% ▲ (+1.21)

Corners

Over 8 68.46% ▲ (+1.85)
Equal 8 10.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 8 21.2% ▼ (-1.79)
Over 9 56.92% ▲ (+1.71)
Equal 9 11.54% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 9 31.54% ▼ (-1.86)
Over 10.5 45.19% ▲ (+1.40)
Under 10.5 54.81% ▼ (-1.40)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 1.5 39.5% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 1.5 60.5% ▼ (-0.53)
Over 2.5 16.42% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 2.5 83.58% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 3.5 5.53% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 94.47% ▼ (-0.16)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5 68.11% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 31.89% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 34.23% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 65.77% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 12.91% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 87.09% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.86% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 40.25%
Draw 26.52%
Colchester United 33.28%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.66% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 40.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.52%
Colchester United
0-1 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.32)
1-2 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.13%
0-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 33.28%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 43
Colchester
Apr 10, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
Swindon
  • Arthur Read 48' goal
  • Will Goodwin 54' goal
  • Romeo Akachukwu 62' yellowcard
  • Harry Anderson 69' goal
  • Samson Tovide 79' yellowcard
  • Jaden Williams 79' yellowcard
  • Fin Back 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fletcher Holman 59'
  • yellowcard Ollie Clarke 59'
  • yellowcard Ollie Palmer 59'
  • yellowcard Filozofe Mabete 74'
  • yellowcard Billy Bodin 74'
League Two
Swindon
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Colchester
League Two Gameweek 24
Swindon
Jan 1, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT County Ground
Colchester
  • Ollie Clarke 15' goal
  • Tunmise Sobowale 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Daniel Barden 60' yellowcard
  • Aaron Drinan 82' goal
  • George Cox 90'+8' goal
  • George Cox 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie McDonnell 30'
  • goal Jack Payne 44'
  • yellowcard John-Kymani Gordon 45'+1'
  • goal Jack Payne 61'
  • yellowcard Ellis Iandolo 78'
  • redcard Ellis Iandolo 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 18
Colchester
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
Swindon
  • Harry Smith 10' goal
  • Samson Tovide 12' goal
  • Samson Tovide 26' goal
  • Jack Payne 38' goal
  • yellowcard Joel Cotterill 34'
  • yellowcard Grant Hall 43'
  • yellowcard Joel McGregor 58'
FA Cup
Swindon
Nov 2, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
ET County Ground
Colchester
  • Will Wright 23' yellowcard
  • Joel McGregor 83' goal
  • Harry Smith 85' yellowcard
  • Joel McGregor 102' yellowcard
  • Kabongo Tshimanga 110' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Flanagan 9'
  • yellowcard Danny Cowley 11'
  • yellowcard Jamie McDonnell 23'
  • yellowcard John-Kymani Gordon 63'
  • goal Harry Anderson 64'
  • yellowcard Rob Hunt 71'
  • yellowcard Ellis Iandolo 85'
  • yellowcard Aaron Donnelly 90'
League Two Gameweek 27
Swindon
Jan 6, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT County Ground
Colchester
  • Charlie Austin 18' goal
  • Tom Brewitt 43' goal
  • Tyrese Shade 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Noah Chilvers 14'
  • yellowcard Danny Cowley 15'
  • goal Matt Jay 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Marley Marshall-Miranda 64'
  • goal Bradley Ihionvien 90'+4'

Form Data

Swindon 3 - 1 Port Vale
Oldham 3 - 0 Swindon
Swindon 2 - 1 Cheltenham
Northampton 0 - 0 Swindon
Cardiff 3 - 2 Swindon
Forest Green 1 - 4 Swindon
Bristol Rovers 2 - 0 Colchester
Colchester 1 - 0 Rochdale
Colchester 2 - 1 Oldham
Accrington 2 - 2 Colchester
Colchester 0 - 2 Southampton
Stevenage 1 - 0 Colchester