League Two Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
LIVE The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
  • Aaron Drinan 13' goal
  • goal Oliver Lynch 2'

Swindon Town vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Oldham 3 - 0 Swindon
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 12.30pm
Port Vale 0 - 0 Crewe
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Oliver Lynch

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Port Vale has a probability of 24.9% and a draw has a probability of 24.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Port Vale win is 0-1 (6.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.15%).

Result

Swindon Town 50.46% (-0.04)
Draw 24.61%
Port Vale 24.9%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.7% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.36% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.64% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 54.48% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 45.52% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 32.24% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.76% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.24% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 80.76% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Swindon Town 36.2%
Draw 43.12%
Port Vale 20.69%

Team To Score First

Swindon Town 58.64% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.42% (-0.01)
Port Vale 34.94%

Corners

Over 8 62.56%
Equal 8 10.81%
Under 8 26.63% (-0.02)
Over 9 51.14% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.43%
Under 9 37.44%
Over 10.5 40.05%
Under 10.5 59.95% (-0.01)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 1.5 49.82% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 50.18% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 24.3% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 75.7% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 10.21%
Under 3.5 89.79%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 60.68% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 39.32% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.41% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.59% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.46% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.54% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.06%
Under 3.5 96.94%

Score analysis

Swindon Town 50.46%
Draw 24.61%
Port Vale 24.89%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 8.26% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.15%
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 2.83%
Other @ 9.93%
Total : 50.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 24.61%
Port Vale
0-1 @ 6.35% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 3.47%
1-3 @ 2.35% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 24.89%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 12.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT County Ground
  • Will Wright 20' goal
  • Daniel Butterworth 45' goal
  • Jake Cain 57' yellowcard
  • Joel Cotterill 63' goal
  • goal Jaheim Headley 31'
  • goal Lorent Tolaj 40'
  • yellowcard Kyle John 49'
  • yellowcard Ben Heneghan 56'
  • yellowcard Nathan Smith 66'
  • goal Lorent Tolaj 87'
League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Ben Garrity 59' yellowcard
  • George Byers 61' goal
  • Brandon Cover 85' goal
  • Tom Sang 87' yellowcard
  • George Byers 90' yellowcard
  • goal Will Wright 89'
  • yellowcard Joel Cotterill 90'+4'
League Two
May 19, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vale Park
  • James Wilson 8' goal
  • James Wilson 42' yellowcard
  • Tom Pett 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ellis Iandolo 56'
  • yellowcard Dion Conroy 95'
  • yellowcard Harry McKirdy 120'+1'
League Two
May 15, 2022 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT County Ground
  • Harry McKirdy 26' goal
  • Josh Davison 32' yellowcard
  • Harry McKirdy 68' goal
  • Louis Reed 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Charsley 42'
  • goal James Wilson 83'
League Two Gameweek 27
Jan 15, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Kian Harratt 26' goal
  • Lucas 45'+3' redcard
  • goal Jonny Williams 20'
  • goal Ben Gladwin 45'+5'
  • goal Chris Smith 69' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jordan Lyden 81'
League Two Gameweek 7
Sep 11, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jack Payne 13' yellowcard
  • Tyreece Simpson 49' goal
  • Tyreece Simpson 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Alex Gilbert 55' yellowcard
  • Harry Parsons 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Garrity 22'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jones 27'
  • goal Ben Garrity 81'