League Two Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Boundary Park

Oldham Athletic vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Colchester 2 - 1 Oldham
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Calum Kavanagh

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Swindon 2 - 1 Cheltenham
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 46.2%. A draw has a probability of 27.06% and a win for Swindon Town has a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.54%) , while for a Swindon Town win it is 0-1 (8.54%).

Result

Oldham Athletic 46.2% (-0.03)
Draw 27.06% (+0.01)
Swindon Town 26.74%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.49%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.55%
Under 1.5 30.45%
Over 2.5 44%
Under 2.5 56%
Over 3.5 22.86%
Under 3.5 77.14%
Over 4.5 12.07% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.93% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Oldham Athletic 32.58% (+0.01)
Draw 45.29%
Swindon Town 22.13%

Team To Score First

Oldham Athletic 52.42% (+0.02)
No Goal 9.24% (-0.01)
Swindon Town 38.34%

Corners

Over 8 60.22% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 28.4% (-0.09)
Over 9 48.4% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.82% (+0.01)
Under 9 39.78% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 37.17% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 62.83% (-0.06)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 40.4% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.6% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 16.38% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.62% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.43% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.57% (+0.01)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 59.89% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 40.11% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25.63% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 74.37% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 8.28%
Under 2.5 91.72%
Over 3.5 2.23%
Under 3.5 97.77%

Score analysis

Oldham Athletic 46.19%
Draw 27.06%
Swindon Town 26.76%
Oldham Athletic
1-0 @ 12.68% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 8.65%
3-0 @ 4.13%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 5.42% (-0.01)
Total : 46.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 9.24% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.06%
Swindon Town
0-1 @ 8.54%
1-2 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 4.36% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 26.76%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 7, 2026 12.31pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
  • James Scanlon 23' goal
  • Jake Thomas Batty 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Junior Hoilett 61' yellowcard
  • Fletcher Holman 61' yellowcard
  • Gavin Kilkenny 61' yellowcard
  • Fletcher Holman 73' goal
  • Ben Middlemas 87' yellowcard
  • Aaron Drinan 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Kane Drummond 52'
  • yellowcard Jack Stevens 75'
  • yellowcard Calum Kavanagh 80'
League Two
Aug 16, 2025 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 36
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rob Hunt 45' yellowcard
  • Ricky Aguiar 76' yellowcard
  • Dion Conroy 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Sam Hart 24'
  • yellowcard Jordan Clarke 27'
  • yellowcard Nicky Adams 33'
  • yellowcard Carl Piergianni 42'
  • yellowcard Dylan Fage 74'
  • yellowcard Hallam Hope 83'
  • redcard Jordan Clarke 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jack Stobbs 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 15
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jamie Bowden 26' yellowcard
  • Carl Piergianni 90' goal
  • goal Harry McKirdy 32'
  • yellowcard Ellis Iandolo 37'
  • yellowcard Harry McKirdy 71'
  • goal Tyreece Simpson 79'
  • goal Tyreece Simpson 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 14, 2020 3.00pm
Boundary Park
League Two Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kaiyne Woolery 45' goal
  • Mathieu Baudry 66' yellowcard
  • Eoin Doyle 85' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Iacovitti 32'
  • yellowcard Zak Mills 94'