League Two Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Boundary Park
  • Elliott Nevitt 41' goal
  • Calum Kavanagh 84' goal
  • Mike Fondop 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Ollie Clarke 71'
  • yellowcard Kaelan Majekodunmi 75'
  • yellowcard Connor Ripley 83'

Oldham Athletic vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Colchester 2 - 1 Oldham
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Calum Kavanagh

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Swindon 2 - 1 Cheltenham
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 46.2%. A draw had a probability of 27.06% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%) , while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result

Oldham Athletic 46.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 27.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Swindon Town 26.74%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.49%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.55%
Under 1.5 30.45%
Over 2.5 44%
Under 2.5 56%
Over 3.5 22.86%
Under 3.5 77.14%
Over 4.5 12.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.93% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Oldham Athletic 32.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 45.29%
Swindon Town 22.13%

Team To Score First

Oldham Athletic 52.42% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 9.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Swindon Town 38.34%

Corners

Over 8 60.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 28.4% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 9 48.4% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 39.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 37.17% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 10.5 62.83% ▼ (-0.06)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 40.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 16.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.57% ▲ (+0.01)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 59.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 40.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 74.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 8.28%
Under 2.5 91.72%
Over 3.5 2.23%
Under 3.5 97.77%

Score analysis

Oldham Athletic 46.19%
Draw 27.06%
Swindon Town 26.76%
Oldham Athletic
1-0 @ 12.68% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 8.65%
3-0 @ 4.13%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 46.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.06%
Swindon Town
0-1 @ 8.54%
1-2 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 26.76%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 7, 2026 12.31pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
  • James Scanlon 23' goal
  • Jake Thomas Batty 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Junior Hoilett 61' yellowcard
  • Fletcher Holman 61' yellowcard
  • Gavin Kilkenny 61' yellowcard
  • Fletcher Holman 73' goal
  • Ben Middlemas 87' yellowcard
  • Aaron Drinan 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Kane Drummond 52'
  • yellowcard Jack Stevens 75'
  • yellowcard Calum Kavanagh 80'
League Two
Aug 16, 2025 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 36
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rob Hunt 45' yellowcard
  • Ricky Aguiar 76' yellowcard
  • Dion Conroy 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Sam Hart 24'
  • yellowcard Jordan Clarke 27'
  • yellowcard Nicky Adams 33'
  • yellowcard Carl Piergianni 42'
  • yellowcard Dylan Fage 74'
  • yellowcard Hallam Hope 83'
  • redcard Jordan Clarke 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jack Stobbs 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 15
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jamie Bowden 26' yellowcard
  • Carl Piergianni 90' goal
  • goal Harry McKirdy 32'
  • yellowcard Ellis Iandolo 37'
  • yellowcard Harry McKirdy 71'
  • goal Tyreece Simpson 79'
  • goal Tyreece Simpson 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 14, 2020 3.00pm
Boundary Park
League Two Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kaiyne Woolery 45' goal
  • Mathieu Baudry 66' yellowcard
  • Eoin Doyle 85' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Iacovitti 32'
  • yellowcard Zak Mills 94'