Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.