Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pinatar Arena Football Center
  • Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel 10' goal
  • 62' yellowcard
  • 62' yellowcard
  • 66' yellowcard
  • 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 57'
  • yellowcard 57'
  • yellowcard 58'
  • yellowcard 66'
  • yellowcard 81'

Port Vale vs Real Murcia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 1.00pm
Wigan 1 - 3 Port Vale

Real Murcia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 35.74%. A win for Real Murcia had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 30.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Real Murcia win was 0-1 (11.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Port Vale 35.74%
Draw 30.87%
Real Murcia 33.39%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.69%

Goals

Over 1.5 64.41% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 35.59% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 38.05% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 61.95% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 18.45% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 81.55% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 9.27%
Under 4.5 90.73%

First Half Winner

Port Vale 23.82% (+0.02)
Draw 46.96% (-0.04)
Real Murcia 29.22% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Port Vale 39.36% (+0.01)
No Goal 12.48% (+0.02)
Real Murcia 48.16% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 61.96% (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.08% (+0.01)
Under 8 26.96% (+0.11)
Over 9 50.29% (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 38.04% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 39.02% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 60.98% (+0.08)

Port Vale Goals

Over 1.5 30.12% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.88% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.42% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.58% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.88%
Under 3.5 97.12%

Real Murcia Goals

Over 0.5 64.07% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 35.93% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.22% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 71.78% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.14% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.86% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.59% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.41% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Port Vale 35.73%
Draw 30.88%
Real Murcia 33.41%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 11.59% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.66%
2-0 @ 6.55% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 35.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.9%
0-0 @ 12.48% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.88%
Real Murcia
0-1 @ 11.54% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.32% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.9% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.58% (+0.02)
Total : 33.41%