League One
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vale Park
  • George Byers 57' yellowcard
  • Connor Hall 58' yellowcard
  • E. Archer 66' yellowcard
  • Ryan Croasdale 66' yellowcard
  • Edward Lake 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ben House 9'
  • goal Robert Street 49'
  • yellowcard Dom Jefferies 65'
  • yellowcard Ryan Oné 66'
  • yellowcard Kamil Conteh 66'
  • yellowcard Alfie Lloyd 74'
  • yellowcard Erik Ring 75'

Port Vale vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Apr 28, 2026 7.45pm
Stockport 1 - 2 Port Vale
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ben Waine

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Lincoln 4 - 3 Wycombe
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Jack Moylan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 27.79% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 21.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%) , while for a Port Vale win it was 1-0 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Port Vale 21.94%
Draw 27.79%
Lincoln City 50.24% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.37%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.82% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 33.18% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 40.97% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 59.03% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 20.38%
Under 3.5 79.62%
Over 4.5 10.32% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.68% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Port Vale 18.6%
Draw 45.65%
Lincoln City 35.75%

Team To Score First

Port Vale 31.15%
No Goal 10.4%
Lincoln City 58.45%

Corners

Over 8 59.56%
Equal 8 11.55%
Under 8 28.89%
Over 9 47.62%
Equal 9 11.95%
Under 9 40.44%
Over 10.5 36.32%
Under 10.5 63.68%

Port Vale Goals

Over 1.5 20.35% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 79.65% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 5.5% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 94.5% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.2%
Under 3.5 98.8%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 75.51% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 24.49% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 41.92% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 58.08% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 17.21% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.79% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 5.63% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.37% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Port Vale 21.94%
Draw 27.78%
Lincoln City 50.25%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 8.44%
2-1 @ 5.3%
2-0 @ 3.48%
3-1 @ 1.53% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.07%
3-2 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 21.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 4.15%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 27.78%
Lincoln City
0-1 @ 14.31% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 9.92% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.59% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.64% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.37% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 5.5% (+0.01)
Total : 50.25%

Head to Head

League One
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Reeco Hackett 33' goal
  • Reeco Hackett 77' yellowcard
  • Rob Street 90' yellowcard
  • Ben House 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Funso Ojo 84'
  • yellowcard Kyle John 89'
League One Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vale Park
  • Funso Ojo 14' yellowcard
  • Tom Sang 68' yellowcard
  • Gavin Massey 75' yellowcard
  • Jesse Debrah 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Taylor 2'
  • yellowcard Paudie O'Connor 20'
  • goal Reeco Hackett 90'+3'
  • yellowcard 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT LNER Stadium
  • Paudie O'Connor 53' redcard
  • Olamide Shodipo 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Arblaster 26'
  • goal Ben Garrity 34'
  • redcard Oliver Arblaster 47'
  • yellowcard Ben Garrity 69'
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT LNER Stadium
  • Lasse Sorensen 11' goal
  • Ben House 42' goal
  • Adam Jackson 87' goal
  • goal Matt Taylor 30'
  • goal Daniel Butterworth 33'
League One Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Daniel Butterworth 68' goal
League Two Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sincil Bank Stadium (Lincoln, Lincolnshire)
  • Neal Eardley 43' yellowcard
  • Shay McCartan 58' goal
  • yellowcard Antony Kay 17'
  • yellowcard Luke Joyce 36'
  • yellowcard Mitch Clark 43'
  • yellowcard Luke Hannant 47'
  • goal Manny Oyeleke 90'