League One Gameweek 46
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Vale Park

Port Vale vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Apr 28, 2026 7.45pm
Stockport 1 - 2 Port Vale
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ben Waine

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Lincoln 4 - 3 Wycombe
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Jack Moylan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lincoln City win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw has a probability of 27.79% and a win for Port Vale has a probability of 22.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.46%) , while for a Port Vale win it is 1-0 (8.46%).

Result

Port Vale 22.06% (+0.20)
Draw 27.79% (+0.31)
Lincoln City 50.12% (-0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.44% (-0.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.81% (-0.93)
Under 1.5 33.19% (+0.92)
Over 2.5 40.97% (-1.04)
Under 2.5 59.03% (+1.04)
Over 3.5 20.4% (-0.84)
Under 3.5 79.6% (+0.84)
Over 4.5 10.36% (-0.56)
Under 4.5 89.64% (+0.55)

First Half Winner

Port Vale 18.83%
Draw 45.42%
Lincoln City 35.75%

Team To Score First

Port Vale 31.2% (-0.13)
No Goal 10.38% (+0.36)
Lincoln City 58.42% (-0.23)

Corners

Over 8 59.58%
Equal 8 11.54%
Under 8 28.88%
Over 9 47.64%
Equal 9 11.94%
Under 9 40.42%
Over 10.5 36.35%
Under 10.5 63.65%

Port Vale Goals

Over 1.5 20.46% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 79.54% (+0.28)
Over 2.5 5.59% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 94.41% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 1.22% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 98.78% (+0.05)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 75.48% (-0.66)
Under 0.5 24.52% (+0.67)
Over 1.5 41.83% (-1.04)
Under 1.5 58.17% (+1.04)
Over 2.5 17.15% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 82.85% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 5.62% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 94.38% (+0.37)

Score analysis

Port Vale 22.06%
Draw 27.79%
Lincoln City 50.13%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 8.46% (+0.23)
2-1 @ 5.31% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.49% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 1.55% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.08% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.09% (-0.04)
Total : 22.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 10.38% (+0.36)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.02)
Total : 27.79%
Lincoln City
0-1 @ 14.33% (+0.30)
0-2 @ 9.87% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 4.61% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.35% (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.09)
Other @ 5.49% (-0.35)
Total : 50.13%

Head to Head

League One
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Reeco Hackett 33' goal
  • Reeco Hackett 77' yellowcard
  • Rob Street 90' yellowcard
  • Ben House 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Funso Ojo 84'
  • yellowcard Kyle John 89'
League One Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vale Park
  • Funso Ojo 14' yellowcard
  • Tom Sang 68' yellowcard
  • Gavin Massey 75' yellowcard
  • Jesse Debrah 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Taylor 2'
  • yellowcard Paudie O'Connor 20'
  • goal Reeco Hackett 90'+3'
  • yellowcard 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT LNER Stadium
  • Paudie O'Connor 53' redcard
  • Olamide Shodipo 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Arblaster 26'
  • goal Ben Garrity 34'
  • redcard Oliver Arblaster 47'
  • yellowcard Ben Garrity 69'
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT LNER Stadium
  • Lasse Sorensen 11' goal
  • Ben House 42' goal
  • Adam Jackson 87' goal
  • goal Matt Taylor 30'
  • goal Daniel Butterworth 33'
League One Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Daniel Butterworth 68' goal
League Two Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sincil Bank Stadium (Lincoln, Lincolnshire)
  • Neal Eardley 43' yellowcard
  • Shay McCartan 58' goal
  • yellowcard Antony Kay 17'
  • yellowcard Luke Joyce 36'
  • yellowcard Mitch Clark 43'
  • yellowcard Luke Hannant 47'
  • goal Manny Oyeleke 90'