Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 27.79% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%) , while for a Port Vale win it was 1-0 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.