League One Gameweek 40
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
The Keepmoat Stadium

Doncaster Rovers vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Doncaster 1 - 0 Reading
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Owen Bailey

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 12.30pm
Lincoln 2 - 1 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Jack Moylan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Doncaster Rovers has a probability of 30.83% and a draw has a probability of 26.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win is 1-0 (8.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.42%).

Result

Doncaster Rovers 30.83% (+0.16)
Draw 26.81% (+0.51)
Lincoln City 42.33% (-0.71)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.63% (-0.76)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.63% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 26.37% (+0.56)
Over 2.5 49.14% (-0.69)
Under 2.5 50.86% (+0.69)
Over 3.5 27.4% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 72.6% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 14.99% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 85.01% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Doncaster Rovers 24.51% (-1.44)
Draw 45.81% (+2.50)
Lincoln City 29.68% (-1.06)

Team To Score First

Doncaster Rovers 41.96% (+1.26)
No Goal 7.6% (+0.32)
Lincoln City 50.44% (-1.59)

Corners

Over 8 53.06% (-0.87)
Equal 8 12.38% (+0.25)
Under 8 34.55% (+0.61)
Over 9 40.92% (-1.01)
Equal 9 12.15% (+0.16)
Under 9 46.94% (+0.87)
Over 10.5 30.04% (-1.04)
Under 10.5 69.96% (+1.03)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 31.47% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 68.53% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 11.57% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 88.43% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 3.36% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.64% (-0.05)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 73.63% (-0.75)
Under 0.5 26.37% (+0.75)
Over 1.5 41.17% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 58.83% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 17.21% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 82.79% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 6.03% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 93.97% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Doncaster Rovers 30.84%
Draw 26.81%
Lincoln City 42.32%
Doncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 8.67% (+0.35)
2-1 @ 7.1% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 4.88% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.13% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.15% (-0.03)
Total : 30.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.42% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 7.6% (+0.32)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.21% (+0.07)
Total : 26.81%
Lincoln City
0-1 @ 10.07% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 9.23% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.19% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 3.36% (-0.23)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.09)
Other @ 5.82% (-0.17)
Total : 42.32%

Head to Head

League One
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Trophy
Sep 20, 2022 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT LNER Stadium
  • Charles Vernam 49' goal
  • goal Kyle Hurst 72'
  • goal Adam Long 84'
EFL Cup
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Keepmoat Stadium
  • Liam Ravenhill 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Charley Kendall 12'
  • goal Teddy Bishop 47'
  • goal Anthony Scully 61'
League One Gameweek 23
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Walsh 73' yellowcard
  • Joe Walsh 82' redcard
  • goal Danny Gardner 75'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Mitchell 90'+3'
League One Gameweek 18
Nov 20, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tom Anderson 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor McGrandles 27'
  • yellowcard Adam Jackson 50'
League One Gameweek 27
Jan 30, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sincil Bank Stadium
  • Tayo Edun 72' yellowcard
  • goal Taylor Richards 15'
  • yellowcard Tom Anderson 67'
  • yellowcard Brad Halliday 85'
  • yellowcard Ellery Balcombe 87'